South Florida vs East Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

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East Carolina's RJ Felton (3) is defended by Houston's Tramon Mark, left, during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game in Greenville, N.C., Saturday, Feb. 25, 2023. (AP Photo/Ben McKeown)
(AP Photo/Ben McKeown)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 11:12 AM
  • East Carolina (9-10) is a -2.5 point favorite vs South Florida (11-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • South Florida / East Carolina TV channel: ESPN+

The South Florida Bulls (11-5) visit Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum to take on the East Carolina Pirates (9-10) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Greenville, NC.

East Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The South Florida vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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South Florida vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Florida+2.5 -110O 139.5 -105+120
East Carolina -2.5 -110U 139.5 -115-145

South Florida vs East Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

South Florida vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+7.20 Units / 66% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 28 games (+3.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 away games (+1.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 31 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 11-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.5 Units / 27.71% ROI).

  • 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -7.69% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting the Over for -7.2 Units / -36.27% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting the Under for +5.45 Units / 27.59% ROI

East Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Carolina has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2 Units / -9.09% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -21.65% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Over for -7.25 Units / -33.03% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 24.04% ROI

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (671/975) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

South Florida is shooting 33% from three (135/406) this season — 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (671/975) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

South Florida is shooting 74% from the free throw line (292/394) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina is shooting 30% from three (134/444) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Carolina is shooting 41% (1,280/3,116) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

East Carolina has a TS% of 44% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

East Carolina has averaged 1.20 points per shot (3,742 points/3,116 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has 331 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,204/2,801) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

South Florida has allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (3,497 points/2,801 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (365/1,078) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has 169 steals this season — 4th most among AAC Teams

East Carolina has averaged 8.0 steals per game (169 steals/21 games) this season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (150/500) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

East Carolina has 383 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among AAC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.