South Florida vs UTSA Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

Man dressed in white is signalling with one hand while pointing at a tam with the other
(AP Photo)
  • South Florida (16-5) is a -5.5 point favorite vs UTSA (11-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • South Florida / UTSA TV channel: ESPN+

The South Florida Bulls (16-5) visit UTSA Convocation Center to take on the UTSA Roadrunners (11-14) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

South Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The South Florida vs. UTSA Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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South Florida vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Florida-5.5 -105O 155.5 -105-225
UTSA +5.5 -115U 155.5 -115+185

South Florida vs UTSA Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this college basketball game with 68.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

South Florida vs UTSA Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+11.50 Units / 97% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 29 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 16-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.5 Units / 39.7% ROI).

  • 18-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 3.72% ROI
  • 8-16 when betting the Over for -9.6 Units / -36.29% ROI
  • 16-8 when betting the Under for +7.25 Units / 27.51% ROI

UTSA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UTSA has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -16.03% ROI).

  • 7-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -29.75% ROI
  • 18-7 when betting the Over for +10.3 Units / 37.45% ROI
  • 7-18 when betting the Under for -12.8 Units / -46.55% ROI

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 72.9 points per game (3,866 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 73.6

South Florida is shooting 34% from three (408/1,202) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (714/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (714/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA has made 214 three-pointers this season — tied for most among AAC Teams

UTSA has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UTSA has a TS% of 46% this season — 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UTSA is shooting 41% (1,343/3,246) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 6.7 steals per game (354 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

South Florida has 354 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has allowed 70.7 points per game (3,746 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 70.9

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,294/3,018) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

UTSA has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (194/516) this season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UTSA has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (448/1,249) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UTSA has allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (4,284 points/3,370 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.