Southern Miss vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2023, 11:40 AM
  • Southern Miss (24-6) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Texas State (13-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (24-6) visit Strahan Arena to take on the Texas State Bobcats (13-17) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Marcos.

Southern Miss is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Southern Miss vs. Texas State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Southern Miss vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Southern Miss-2.5 -110O 135.5 -110-145
Texas State +2.5 -110U 135.5 -110+120

Southern Miss vs Texas State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Southern Miss will win this game with 56.2% confidence.

Southern Miss vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Southern Miss and Texas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Southern Miss has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+28.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 22 away games (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Southern Miss have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Southern Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)

Southern Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Miss has gone 17-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.05 Units / 20.4% ROI).

  • 21-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +27.5 Units / 27.19% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has gone 8-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-11.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -18.22% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI

Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Miss has averaged 15.0 assists per game (361 assists/24 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Southern Miss is shooting 46% (664/1,438) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 45%

Southern Miss has made 6.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Southern Miss has averaged 15.0 assists per game (361 assists/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 13.1

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has a TS% of 43% this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas State has averaged 64.5 points per game (1,547 points/24 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Southern Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Miss has averaged 9.0 steals per game (215 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Southern Miss has 215 steals this season — 3rd most among Sunbelt Teams

Southern Miss has averaged 9.0 steals per game (215 steals/24 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Southern Miss has averaged 6.6 steals per game (379 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Texas State has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,165 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Texas State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (160 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.