St. John’s vs Marquette Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 10:56 AM
  • Marquette (24-6) is a -11.5 point favorite vs St. John’s (17-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The St. John’s Red Storm (17-13) visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Marquette Golden Eagles (24-6) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Milwaukee.

Marquette is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The St. John’s vs. Marquette Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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St. John’s vs. Marquette Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
St. John’sSt. John´s +11.5 -110O 161.5 -105+525
Marquette -11.5 -110U 161.5 -115-750

St. John’s vs Marquette Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Marquette will win this game with 71.7% confidence.

St. John’s vs Marquette Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts St. John’s will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both St. John’s and Marquette, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • St. John’s has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • St. John’s has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 away games (+7.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • St. John’s have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • St. John’s has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • St. John’s have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 away games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 44 games (+27.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Marquette have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Marquette have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 46 games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.50 Units / 13% ROI)

St. John’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

St. John’s has gone 12-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.8 Units / -23.6% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 9.23% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.12% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -10.61% ROI

Marquette Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Marquette has gone 20-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+9.05 Units / 27.47% ROI).

  • 21-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.5 Units / 15.69% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

St. John’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

St. John’s has averaged 17.3 assists per game (949 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.2

St. John’s has averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (301 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

St. John’s has averaged 78.6 points per game (4,325 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 73.5

St. John’s has averaged 15.2 assists per game (349 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Marquette Offensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (419 assists/ 253 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Marquette has averaged 18.2 assists per game (419 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Marquette has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (419 assists/ 253 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Marquette has an eFG% of 57% this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

St. John’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

St. John’s has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (617 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

St. John’s has averaged 8.8 steals per game (482 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.8

St. John’s has averaged 8.6 steals per game (198 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

St. John’s has 198 steals this season — 2nd most among Big East Teams

Marquette Defensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (370 turnovers/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Marquette has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (535 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Marquette has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (535 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Marquette has averaged 9.4 steals per game (216 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.