Tarleton State vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 8

Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
  • UCF is a -24.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Tarleton State / UCF TV channel: ESPN+

The Tarleton State Texans visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights on Dec. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Orlando, FL.

UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-115).

The Tarleton State vs. UCF Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Tarleton State vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tarleton State+24.5 -105O 135.5 -105+3000
UCF -24.5 -115U 135.5 -115-10000

Tarleton State vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UCF will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tarleton State vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+4.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 3-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -48.75% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -3.45% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.49% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 3-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / -29.21% ROI).

  • 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 6.73% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State had an eFG% of 50% last season — 43rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Tarleton State made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF averaged 11.1 assists per game (356 assists/32 games) last season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

UCF had 21.9 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 48th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

UCF had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UCF made 6.7 three-pointers per game last season — 4th lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (715 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Tarleton State averaged 8.7 steals per game (277 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tarleton State forced 13.4 turnovers per game (429 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (800 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 25.7

UCF averaged 8.6 steals per game (275 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UCF stole the ball 275 times last season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams

UCF stole the ball 275 times last season — 9th most among Power Conference teams


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.