TCU vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
  • UCF is a -4.5 point favorite vs TCU
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • TCU / UCF TV channel: ESPN+

The TCU Horned Frogs visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Orlando, FL, USA.

UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The TCU vs. UCF Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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TCU vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+4.5 -115O 148.5 -105+154
UCF -4.5 -105U 148.5 -115-190

TCU vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UCF will win this college basketball game with 64.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

TCU vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 68.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+11.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+8.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 6-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.25 Units / -36.62% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 1.47% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting the Over for -7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting the Under for +5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -5.03% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 9.23% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting the Over for +5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting the Under for -7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU is shooting 63% from the free throw line (220/349) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

TCU shot 38% (24/64) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF is shooting 42% (473/1,122) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 46%

UCF averaged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (389 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

UCF averaged 11.1 assists per game (356 assists/32 games) last season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

UCF shot 70% from the free throw line (492/702) last season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 17% (4/23) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 47% on catch and shoot opportunities (23/49) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has averaged 24.3 defensive rebounds per game (438 rebounds/18 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 25.7

UCF has allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (77/196) in the second half this season — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

UCF stole the ball 275 times last season — 9th most among Power Conference teams

UCF has averaged 8.2 steals per game (409 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.