Tennessee vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 21

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Virginia head coach Tony Bennett reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 21, 2024, 9:42 AM
  • Tennessee is a -12.5 point favorite vs Virginia
  • Total (Over/Under): 125.5 points
  • Tennessee / Virginia TV channel: CBSSN

The Tennessee Volunteers visit Baha Mar Convention Center to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Nov. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in .

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Tennessee vs. Virginia Over/Under is 125.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee-12.5 -105O 125.5 -110-700
Virginia +12.5 -115U 125.5 -110+500

Tennessee vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 66.3% confidence for today’s game.


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Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Tennessee averaged 4.7 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/33 games) in the second half last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Tennessee averaged 16.7 assists per game (551 assists/33 games) last season — 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Tennessee averaged 79.0 points per game (2,606 points/33 games) last season — 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Virginia averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee allowed opponents to shoot 39% (746/1,905) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Tennessee averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (885 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Tennessee averaged 8.0 steals per game (264 steals/33 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tennessee averaged 8.0 steals per game (264 steals/33 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.