Texas A&M-Commerce vs Incarnate Word Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2023, 11:56 AM
  • Texas A&M-Commerce (13-17) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Incarnate Word (11-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Texas A&M-Commerce Lions (13-17) visit McDermott Center to take on the Incarnate Word Cardinals (11-18) on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in San Antonio.

Texas A&M-Commerce is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Texas A&M-Commerce vs. Incarnate Word Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Texas A&M-Commerce vs. Incarnate Word Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A&M-Commerce-1.5 +100O 136.5 -110-110
Incarnate Word +1.5 -120U 136.5 -110-110

Texas A&M-Commerce vs Incarnate Word Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Incarnate Word will win this game with 54.2% confidence.

Texas A&M-Commerce vs Incarnate Word Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Incarnate Word will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas A&M-Commerce and Incarnate Word, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Texas A&M-Commerce has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+8.30 Units / 113% ROI)
  • Texas A&M-Commerce has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Texas A&M-Commerce has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Texas A&M-Commerce have covered the Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Texas A&M-Commerce have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)

Texas A&M-Commerce Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 13-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.45 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -2.74% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.85 Units / 9.28% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.65 Units / -18.28% ROI

Incarnate Word Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Incarnate Word has gone 17-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.1 Units / 24.83% ROI).

  • 8-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -18.99% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI

Texas A&M-Commerce Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M-Commerce is shooting 31% from three (201/644) this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Texas A&M-Commerce is shooting 57% from inside the arc (337/594) this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 52%

Texas A&M-Commerce has averaged 14.4 assists per game (331 assists/23 games) this season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 13.7

Texas A&M-Commerce has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (331 assists/ 284 TOs) this season — tied for best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Incarnate Word Offensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word has a TS% of 46% this season — 43rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Incarnate Word has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Incarnate Word has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Incarnate Word has averaged 68.5 points per game (3,765 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.2

Texas A&M-Commerce Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M-Commerce has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (506 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Texas A&M-Commerce has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (1,639 points/1,244 shots) this season — tied for 4th highest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 1.32

Texas A&M-Commerce has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (161/474) this season — 5th highest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 36%

Texas A&M-Commerce has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (613/1,362) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 46%

Incarnate Word Defensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,154 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Incarnate Word has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,154 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Incarnate Word has averaged 8.5 steals per game (196 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Incarnate Word has averaged 8.5 steals per game (196 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.