- Texas Tech is predicted to be a -15.5-point favorite against UNC Wilmington.
- North Carolina-Wilmington has won 15 of its last 16 night games.
- One NCAAB betting system predicts Thursday’s game stays under the total.
Six years removed from a national championship game appearance, Texas Tech starts the 2025 tournament against UNC Wilmington.
The Red Raiders finished second in the Big 12 this year, falling in the conference tournament to Arizona. Prior to that defeat, Texas Tech captured four wins in a row.
UNC Wilmington earned a tournament bid thanks to a CAA Tournament victory. Entering Thursday’s game, the Seahawks have captured six wins in a row.
Bet on Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington and other March Madness matchups with up-to-date college basketball odds.
Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington Odds, March Madness
- Texas Tech Moneyline: -2000
- UNC Wilmington Moneyline: +950
- Game Spread: Texas Tech -15.5 (-115), UNC Wilmington +15.5 (-105)
- Game Over/Under: 143.5 Points (-110/-110)
Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington Prediction
Based on one historically profitable NCAAB betting system, the Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington prediction for Thursday’s game is the Total Under 143.5 Points (-110).
The driving force behind this wager is the sizable spread in Texas Tech’s favor. Historically, unders have proved a profitable bet in tournament games with big spreads.
Since 2004, NCAA Tournament games with a spread between -20.5 and -6.5 are 54-22 (71.1%) to the under, assuming a closing total between 141 and 145 points.
Over the previous three seasons, those games are 10-2 to the under, staying under the total by 6.17 points per game.
The system also drastically improves when you shrink the sample to games featuring bigger spreads, like this contest.
Over the same time span, games with a total between 141-145 and a spread between -20.5 and -10.5 are 24-6 to the under, including 5-0 over the last three years.
As a result, consider taking the under in Texas Tech’s opening contest on Thursday night.
Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington: NCAAB Public Betting
| Team | Bets% (ATS) | Money% (ATS) | Bets% (ML) | Money% (ML) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Wilmington | 56% | 64% | 94% | 97% |
| Texas Tech | 44% | 36% | 6% | 3% |
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