- Xavier is predicted to be a -2.5-point favorite against Texas.
- Xavier has won each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- One NCAAB betting system predicts Xavier covers the spread on Wednesday.
To wrap up the first four games in Dayton, Xavier and Texas will face off Wednesday for a spot in the round of 64.
Xavier finished fifth in the Big East conference this season and fell to Marquette in the Big East tournament. Prior to that loss, Sean Miller’s side reeled off seven straight victories.
Texas finished 13th in a loaded SEC conference this season but captured two wins in the SEC Tournament. Ultimately, the Longhorns fell to Tennessee in the quarterfinals.
Bet on Xavier vs. Texas and other March Madness matchups with up-to-date college basketball odds.
Xavier vs. Texas Odds, March Madness
- Xavier Moneyline: -155
- Texas Moneyline: +125
- Game Spread: Xavier -2.5 (-115), Texas +2.5 (-105)
- Game Over/Under: 149.5 Points (-110/-110)
Xavier vs. Texas Prediction
Based on one historically profitable NCAAB betting system, the Xavier vs. Texas prediction for Wednesday’s game is the Xavier Spread (-2.5, -115).
Driving this prediction is Xavier’s ability to consistently earn points from the free throw line.
Historically, NCAA Tournament favorites with a strong free-throw shooting percentage cover at a high rate.
Since 2006, favorites with a conversion percentage between 77.2% and 82.2% are 39-15-1 ATS (72.2%) for a 38.6% return on investment, per Bet Labs.
That system has triggered three times in previous First Four contests with the favorite finishing 3-0 ATS in those contests.
Irrespective of the tournament timing, these favorites improve drastically when the spread is relatively small.
Sample 23 games where the favorite carried a free-throw percentage in the listed range AND closed between -4 and -1: 20-3 ATS.
Pair that betting trend with Xavier’s run of results against unranked teams, and bettors should consider the Musketeers on Wednesday in Dayton.
Xavier vs. Texas: NCAAB Public Betting
Check back on Wednesday for Xavier vs. Texas public betting data and insights.
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