- Michigan (17-15) is a Michigan -6.5 point favorite vs Toledo (27-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 163.5 points
- Watch this NIT Tournament game on ESPN2
The Toledo Rockets (27-7) visit Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines (17-15) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Ann Arbor.
Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Toledo vs. Michigan Over/Under is 163.5 total points.
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Toledo vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Toledo | +6.5 -115 | O 163.5 -115 | +220 |
| Michigan | -6.5 -105 | U 163.5 -105 | -275 |
Toledo vs Michigan Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this NIT Tournament game with 56.0% confidence.
Toledo vs Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Toledo and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Toledo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 18 games (+16.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 30 games (+15.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Michigan Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Toledo has gone 21-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.85 Units / 21.63% ROI).
- 26-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -3.36% ROI
- 23-9 when betting the Over for +13.1 Units / 36.09% ROI
- 9-23 when betting the Under for -16.3 Units / -44.9% ROI
Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan has gone 17-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 0% ROI).
- 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.07% ROI
- 18-14 when betting the Over for +2.55 Units / 7.23% ROI
- 14-18 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -16.5% ROI
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (856 assists/ 571 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (335 assists/ 225 TOs) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Toledo has averaged 85.0 points per game (1,869 points/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.8
Toledo is shooting 48% (1,689/3,497) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (212 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2
Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (287 assists/ 212 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Michigan is shooting 36% from three (91/253) in the first half this season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan is shooting 47% (867/1,833) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 46%
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:
Toledo has averaged 7.0 steals per game (154 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Toledo has 154 steals this season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams
Toledo has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,489 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Toledo has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,489 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan has averaged 4.9 steals per game (274 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Michigan has averaged 4.9 steals per game (274 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7
Michigan has averaged 4.8 steals per game (152 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Michigan has averaged 5.2 steals per game (114 steals/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1
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