UCF vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 31

Texas Tech guard Elijah Hawkins advances the ball against Texas A&M during an NCAA college basketball game in Fort Worth, Texas, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
  • Texas Tech is a -13.5 point favorite vs UCF
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • UCF / Texas Tech TV channel: ESPN+

The UCF Knights visit United Supermarkets Arena to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders on Dec. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Lubbock, TX.

Texas Tech is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The UCF vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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UCF vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCF+13.5 -110O 145.5 -115+675
Texas Tech -13.5 -110U 145.5 -105-1100

UCF vs Texas Tech Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UCF vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UCF has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+7.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+2.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+11.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 5-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.7 Units / -13.93% ROI).

  • 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 6.02% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 0.44% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -38.84% ROI

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (356 assists/ 392 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UCF averaged 11.1 assists per game (356 assists/32 games) last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 15.1

UCF had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UCF has an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech shot 81% from the free throw line (311/385) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech shot 78% from the free throw line (505/649) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 72%

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF averaged 8.6 steals per game (275 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UCF averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (800 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 25.7

UCF has averaged 8.7 steals per game (96 steals/11 games) this season — 5th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 8.2

UCF averaged 8.6 steals per game (275 steals/32 games) last season — 4th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 33% (49/149) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.