UMass Lowell vs Vermont Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

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Vermont head coach John Becker talks to his team in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game for the America East Conference tournament championship, Saturday, March 12, 2022, in Burlington, Vt.
(AP Photo/Jessica Hill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2023, 10:47 AM
  • Vermont (22-10) is a -6.5 point favorite vs UMass Lowell (26-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The UMass Lowell River Hawks (26-7) visit Roy L. Patrick Gymnasium to take on the Vermont Catamounts (22-10) on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00am EST in Burlington.

Vermont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The UMass Lowell vs. Vermont Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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UMass Lowell vs. Vermont Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UMass Lowell+6.5 -110O 141.5 -115+225
Vermont -6.5 -110U 141.5 -105-275

UMass Lowell vs Vermont Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Vermont will win this game with 61.8% confidence.

UMass Lowell vs Vermont Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vermont will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UMass Lowell and Vermont, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UMass Lowell have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Vermont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 20 games (+16.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Vermont have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Vermont has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 games (+14.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Vermont has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Vermont have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)

UMass Lowell Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMass Lowell has gone 20-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.9 Units / 23.17% ROI).

  • 23-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 5.81% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI

Vermont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Vermont has gone 18-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 18-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 5.22% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 10.87% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.85 Units / -20.06% ROI

UMass Lowell Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMass Lowell has 350 turnovers this season — most among America East Teams

UMass Lowell has 276 offensive rebounds this season — most among America East Teams

UMass Lowell is shooting 48% (691/1,442) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 45%

UMass Lowell is shooting 37% from three (167/453) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Vermont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Vermont has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (528 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Vermont is shooting 45% (558/1,231) this season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Vermont is shooting 57% from inside the arc (876/1,525) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Vermont has averaged 6.1 offensive rebounds per game (344 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.4

UMass Lowell Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMass Lowell has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (634 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 24.0

UMass Lowell has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (634 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

UMass Lowell has averaged 7.0 steals per game (168 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

UMass Lowell has averaged 7.2 steals per game (395 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Vermont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Vermont has averaged 5.9 steals per game (130 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Vermont has averaged 25.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,412 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Vermont has averaged 5.4 steals per game (303 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Vermont has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (606 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.