USC vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

BetMGM Betting Jan 11, 2025, 9:35 AM

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Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.

(AP Photo/Michael Allio)

Illinois is a -14.5 point favorite vs USC
Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
USC / Illinois TV channel: BTN

The USC Trojans visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Champaign, IL.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The USC vs. Illinois Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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USC vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
USC	+14.5 -110	O 154.5 -115	+775
Illinois	-14.5 -110	U 154.5 -105	-1400

USC vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

USC vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts USC will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence for today’s game.

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USC Basketball Best Bets Today:

USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
USC has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
USC has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+3.05 Units / 2% ROI)
USC have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
USC has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+0.70 Units / 4% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Best Bets Today:

Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 38 games (+20.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 38 games (+10.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.11 Units / 11% ROI)
Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 39 games (+2.55 Units / 6% ROI)

USC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

USC has a 6-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.95 Units / -24.01% ROI).

10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 2.69% ROI
10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.05 Units / -12.24% ROI).

10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 2.17% ROI
8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI

USC Offensive Stats & Trends:

USC averaged 6.8 turnovers per game (88 turnovers/13 games) in the second half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.8

USC has averaged 6.8 turnovers per game (88 turnovers/13 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.8

USC has averaged 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (126 rebounds/15 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

USC has made 6.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.2

Illinois has attempted 472 threes this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (487 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Illinois has averaged 84.2 points per game (4,381 points/52 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.9

USC Defensive Stats & Trends:

USC averaged 6.8 steals per game (88 steals/13 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

USC allowed 41.2 points per game (535 points/13 games) in the second half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.3

USC forced 13.2 turnovers per game (397 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 50th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

USC allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (250/695) last season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.02 points per shot (993 points/971 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.17

Illinois has averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (492 rebounds/15 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.2

Illinois has averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (492 rebounds/15 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8