USC vs Saint Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 28, 2024, 9:39 AM
  • Saint Mary’s is a -4.5 point favorite vs USC
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • USC / Saint Mary’s TV channel: truTV

The USC Trojans visit Acrisure Arena to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Nov. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Palm Springs, CA.

Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The USC vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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USC vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
USC+4.5 -110O 141.5 -110+165
Saint Mary’s -4.5 -110U 141.5 -110-200

USC vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 58.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

USC vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts USC will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 32 games (+22.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 29 games (+8.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.95 Units / 11% ROI)

USC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

USC has a 1-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 1.33% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Mary’s has a 1-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 1.92% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

USC Offensive Stats & Trends:

USC averaged 12.8 turnovers per game (384 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 44th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

USC averaged 6.8 turnovers per game (88 turnovers/13 games) in the second half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.8

USC averaged 16.0 assists per game (479 assists/30 games) last season — 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

USC averaged 39% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (296 free throw attempts/759 field goal attempts) last season — 3rd highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (420 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Saint Mary’s had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (468 assists/ 317 TOs) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Saint Mary’s shot 46% (820/1,772) last season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 46%

Saint Mary’s averaged 15.6 assists per game (468 assists/30 games) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

USC Defensive Stats & Trends:

USC averaged 6.8 steals per game (88 steals/13 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

USC allowed 41.2 points per game (535 points/13 games) in the second half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.3

USC allowed an average of 1.38 points per shot (535 points/388 shots) in the second half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

USC forced 13.2 turnovers per game (397 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 50th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Saint Mary’s averaged 6.7 steals per game (200 steals/30 games) last season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 5.8

Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Saint Mary’s allowed 4.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.