- Evansville is a -2.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Valparaiso / Evansville TV channel: ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons visit Ford Center to take on the Evansville Purple Aces on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Evansville, IN, USA.
Evansville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Valparaiso vs. Evansville Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Evansville Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +2.5 -110 | O 145.5 -115 | +120 |
| Evansville | -2.5 -110 | U 145.5 -105 | -145 |
Valparaiso vs Evansville Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Valparaiso will win this college basketball game with 69.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Valparaiso vs Evansville Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Evansville will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+1.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (+1.15 Units / 3% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 30 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Evansville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Evansville have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.15% ROI).
- 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -17.59% ROI
- 15-9 when betting the Over for +5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI
- 9-15 when betting the Under for -7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Evansville has a 10-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- 8-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -1.87% ROI
- 9-16 when betting the Over for -8.6 Units / -31.22% ROI
- 16-9 when betting the Under for +6.15 Units / 22.4% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso had 14.6 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has averaged 65.8 points per game (1,711 points/26 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 75.0
Evansville has averaged 65.8 points per game (1,711 points/26 games) this season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1
Evansville averaged 28% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (546 free throw attempts/1,937 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Evansville averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,349 points/1,937 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 5.8 steals per game (151 steals/26 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (696/1,497) this season — tied for 24th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.31 points per shot (1,955 points/1,497 shots) this season — tied for 21st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (196/564) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%
Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has averaged 6.2 steals per game (160 steals/26 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Evansville stole the ball 218 times last season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Evansville averaged 6.6 steals per game (218 steals/33 games) last season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Evansville has averaged 6.4 steals per game (378 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4
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