Virginia vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 8

California head coach Mark Madsen during an NCAA college basketball game against Stanford in Berkeley, Calif., Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • California is a -4.5 point favorite vs Virginia
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • Virginia / California TV channel: ESPNU

The Virginia Cavaliers visit Haas Pavilion to take on the California Golden Bears on Jan. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Berkeley, CA.

California is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Virginia vs. California Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

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Virginia vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia+4.5 -110O 131.5 -105+165
California -4.5 -110U 131.5 -115-200

Virginia vs California Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts California will win this college basketball game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Virginia vs California Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts California will cover the spread with 67.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+11.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.76 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • California has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • California has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • California has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+3.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • California have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 30 games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 6-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.8 Units / -18.24% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 7.75% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI

California Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

California has a 7-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.5 Units / 10.45% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.44% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has averaged 7.1 offensive rebounds per game (99 rebounds/14 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.5

Virginia has averaged 62.3 points per game (2,803 points/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 75.0

Virginia has averaged 7.1 offensive rebounds per game (99 rebounds/14 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.5

Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

California Offensive Stats & Trends:

California has averaged 10.4 assists per game (146 assists/14 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 15.4

California has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (146 assists/ 179 TOs) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

California has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (146 assists/ 179 TOs) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

California has averaged 5.0 assists per game (70 assists/14 games) in the first half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia has allowed 56.0 points per game (1,736 points/31 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.9

California Defensive Stats & Trends:

California allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (969 points/753 shots) last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.17

California has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (226/509) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 41%

California allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (59/155) in the first half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

California allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (107/287) last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.