- The Jacksonville State is a -20.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico State
- The New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The New Mexico State Aggies (1-4) visit AmFirst Stadium to take on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (2-3) on Oct. 9 in Jacksonville, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Jacksonville State is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).
The New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
New Mexico State | +20.5 -110 | 58.5 -110 | +800 |
Jacksonville State | -20.5 -110 | 58.5 -110 | -1400 |
New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this game with 93.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico State and Jacksonville State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 62.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+13.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+10.70 Units / 77% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
Jacksonville State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+0.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for New Mexico State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico State Player Prop Bets Today
- Kordell David has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Jacksonville State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jacksonville State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Anwar Lewis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -42.34% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -26.67% ROI
- New Mexico State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 16.36% ROI
- New Mexico State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -21.82% ROI
Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jacksonville State is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.35 Units / -75.28% ROI).
- Jacksonville State is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -57.14% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State
New Mexico State is 1-4 (.167) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .422
New Mexico State is 10-4 (.714) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
New Mexico State is 10-3 (.714) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .616
New Mexico State is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .632
Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
Jacksonville State is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .554
Jacksonville State is 10-3 (.769) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .656
Jacksonville State is 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .383
Jacksonville State is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .616
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State has gained 1,134 yards on 85 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Jacksonville State has gained 1,134 yards on 85 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s offense has thrown for 3,357 passing yards in 18 games (just 186.5 YPG) since the 2023 season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 245.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 4.5% of 132 attempts this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.5% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs has rushed for 2,494 yards on 425 carries (5.9 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense have allowed just 4.2 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State has gained 3,382 yards on 254 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State WRs have no touchdowns on 35 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.7
New Mexico State Skill Players have caught just 54 of 123 passes (44% Reception Pct) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 64%
New Mexico State WRs have caught just 35 of 92 passes (38% Reception Pct) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 62%
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 4.5% of 132 attempts this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.5% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs has rushed for 2,494 yards on 425 carries (5.9 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense have allowed just 4.2 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State has gained 1,134 yards on 85 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Jacksonville State rushed for 7 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses
Jacksonville State rushed for 8 TDs last week– most among FBS Offenses
Jacksonville State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.0 receptions (8 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
Jacksonville State Skill Players have averaged 22.9 yards per reception (320 yards/14 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
New Mexico State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State opponents has averaged 6.5 Passing Attempts per TD (65 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
New Mexico State opponents has averaged 6.5 Passing Attempts per TD (65 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (24 completions/65 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 18% (2 completions/11 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 53%
New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 18% (2 completions/11 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Jacksonville State Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 5 of 16 attempts (31%) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 9%
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 5 of 16 attempts (31%) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Jacksonville State has averaged 1.60 interceptions per game (8/5) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.74
Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 22 of 133 attempts (17%) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Jacksonville State has allowed 13.1 Yards per Attempt (210 yards/16 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.1
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