Ravens Over Under Wins, 2026 NFL Win Totals

For the 2026 NFL season, the Ravens’ win total sits at 11.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook.

The Ravens fell off significantly in 2025, resulting in John Harbaugh’s departure. Chargers defensive coordinator Jesse Minter takes over for Harbaugh. 

Despite a four-win dropoff, Baltimore remains a highly rated team in the market. Year over year, their win total dropped by only one win. 

Here’s a look at the NFL odds for Baltimore’s 2025 win total and my Ravens win total prediction. 

Ravens Win Total Odds

The Ravens’ season win total is set at 11.5 games. 

Oddsmakers expect the under to be the more likely outcome. Currently, Baltimore is +118 to win 12 or more games for the third time in four seasons. 

Meanwhile, the odds for Baltimore to finish with 11 or fewer wins is -140. 

Here are the 2026 NFL win totals for all AFC North teams:

• Baltimore Ravens: 11.5 Wins
• Cincinnati Bengals: 9.5 Wins
• Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5 Wins
• Cleveland Browns: 6.5 Wins

Ravens Win Total Prediction 2026

Based on improved defensive injury luck and an easy schedule of opposing offenses, I predict the Ravens finish Over 11.5 Wins (+118).

A lot of factors point to improvement by Baltimore next year. 

Basically, everything that could go wrong for Baltimore did last season. The offense (largely) remained intact, but two-time MVP Lamar Jackson missed four games. 

Additionally, the Ravens practically gave away two games. In Week 1, Baltimore blew a massive advantage as short road favorites in Buffalo, losing 41-40. 

Then, for some inexplicable reason, Baltimore’s staff decided to stop running the ball against New England to burn the clock. Drake Maye punished the Ravens with a fourth-quarter surge. 

Flipping just those two games gets Baltimore to 10 wins and a division title. 

Offensively, a lot of question marks exist around this team. Jackson is currently set to count $75 million against the cap, good for 24% of Baltimore’s total. 

Without an extension or restructure, Baltimore could lose a ton of key free agents. That includes center Tyler Linderbaum, fullback Patrick Ricard and tight end Isiah Likely. 

If that happens, the Ravens become a pass in the futures market for me. 

Where the case for optimism exists comes on defense. Year over year, Baltimore fell from sixth to 17th in defensive DVOA, including going from eighth to 22nd against the pass. 

Injuries contributed to that falloff. Only two teams lost more adjusted games to injury on defense than Baltimore. 

Next season, the schedule projects more favorably for Baltimore’s defense, which should benefit from Minter calling plays. 

Last year, Baltimore faced the league’s 18th-hardest set of offenses. By 2025 DVOA ratings, the Ravens project to face the league’s 29th-hardest set of offenses. 

Two games against Cleveland will help drive down that figure. However, the team faces only two games against top-10 units from last year. 

Last year, the bar for winning was set very high when the defense looked….average. 

Baltimore finished 8-1 when allowing 24 or fewer points. Conversely: 0-8. 

Given how the schedule breaks for the defense, it’s my perspective, the defense could improve based purely on the opposition. 

That, along with fresh ideas from a new staff and a soft schedule outside the division, should see Baltimore take a step up in 2026. 

Most Wins in Ravens History

The Ravens’ franchise record for most regular season wins is 14.

In 2019, the Ravens posted a 14-2 record but ultimately lost in the Divisional Round to the Tennessee Titans.

Fewest Wins in Ravens History

The Ravens’ franchise record for the fewest regular-season wins is four. Baltimore’s worst season came in their inaugural NFL season, posting a 4-12 mark in 1996.