Ravens Over Under Wins 2026 Prediction & Odds

Below, bettors can find  NFL odds for Baltimore’s 2025 win total and my Ravens win total prediction. 

Ravens Win Total Odds

The Ravens’ season win total is set at 11.5 games. 

Current odds price over 11.5 wins at +130 while under 11.5 wins is priced at -155.

Here are the 2026 NFL win totals for all AFC North teams:

• Baltimore Ravens: 11.5 Wins
• Cincinnati Bengals: 9.5 Wins
• Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5 Wins
• Cleveland Browns: 5.5 Wins

Ravens Win Total Prediction 2026

Baltimore Ravens Over 11.5 Wins (+118)

Based on implied probability, the Ravens are predicted to finish under 11.5 wins with 58.3% confidence. Given likely improved defensive injury luck and an easy schedule of opposing offenses, I predict the Ravens finish Over 11.5 Wins (+118).

A lot of factors point to improvement by Baltimore next year. 

Basically, everything that could go wrong for Baltimore did last season. The offense (largely) remained intact, but two-time MVP Lamar Jackson missed four games. 

Additionally, the Ravens practically gave away two games. In Week 1, Baltimore blew a massive advantage as short road favorites in Buffalo, losing 41-40. 

Then, for some inexplicable reason, Baltimore’s staff decided to stop running the ball against New England to burn the clock. Drake Maye punished the Ravens with a fourth-quarter surge. 

Flipping just those two games gets Baltimore to 10 wins and a division title. 

Offensively, a lot of question marks exist around this team. Jackson is currently set to count $75 million against the cap, good for 24% of Baltimore’s total. 

Without an extension or restructure, Baltimore could lose a ton of key free agents. That includes center Tyler Linderbaum, fullback Patrick Ricard and tight end Isiah Likely. 

If that happens, the Ravens become a pass in the futures market for me. 

Where the case for optimism exists comes on defense. Year over year, Baltimore fell from sixth to 17th in defensive DVOA, including going from eighth to 22nd against the pass. 

Injuries contributed to that falloff. Only two teams lost more adjusted games to injury on defense than Baltimore. 

Next season, the schedule projects more favorably for Baltimore’s defense, which should benefit from Minter calling plays. 

Last year, Baltimore faced the league’s 18th-hardest set of offenses. By 2025 DVOA ratings, the Ravens project to face the league’s 29th-hardest set of offenses. 

Two games against Cleveland will help drive down that figure. However, the team faces only two games against top-10 units from last year. 

Last year, the bar for winning was set very high when the defense looked….average. 

Baltimore finished 8-1 when allowing 24 or fewer points. Conversely: 0-8. 

Given how the schedule breaks for the defense, it’s my perspective, the defense could improve based purely on the opposition. 

That, along with fresh ideas from a new staff and a soft schedule outside the division, should see Baltimore take a step up in 2026.