- The Packers are -3 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Chicago Bears (8-6) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (8-8) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Green Bay, WI.
The Packers are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Bears vs. Packers Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Bears vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bears | +3 -105 | 44 -110 | +145 |
| Packers | -3 -115 | 44 -110 | -175 |
Bears vs. Packers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 18 game with 59.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bears vs Packers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 59.8% confidence.
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Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.95 Units / 74% ROI)
- Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 54% ROI)
Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have scored first in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.45 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 57% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.70 Units / 25% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears went 8-6 (+1.5 Units / 8.47% ROI).
- Bears are 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.8% ROI
- Bears are 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
- Bears are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / ROI
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers went 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.52% ROI).
- Packers are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 6.81% ROI
- Packers are 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Packers are 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Bears are 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception this season — 7th-best in NFL. The Packers have intercepted 7 passes this season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Bears are 3-12 (.200) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Bears are 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Bears were 1-7 (.125) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Packers are 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The Bears have intercepted 22 passes this season — most in NFL.
The Packers are 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 pass defenses this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .444.
The Packers are winless (0-5) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.
The Packers are 2-2 (.500) when not forcing a turnover this season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
The Packers have a third down conversion rate of 46.2% this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 42.9% this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Packers have 30 touchdown passes this season — 3rd-most in NFL. The Bears have allowed 29 passing TDs this season — 4th-most in NFL.
Packers QBs have been 29 sacked this season — 3rd-fewest in NFL. The Bears have sacked the quarterback 29 times this season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Bears have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 30.7% of pass attempts since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Packers have pressured opposing QBs on 26.9% of passing plays since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Bears have rushed the ball on 51.0% of plays from scrimmage since the 2022 season — highest in NFL. The Packers have allowed 4.9 yards per carry since the 2022 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Bears are 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception this season — 7th-best in NFL. The Packers have intercepted 7 passes this season — T-2nd-fewest in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears had 7 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 17 — T-most in NFL.
The Bears have run successful plays on 28% of pass attempts in the 2nd half since Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Bears have thrown the ball 43% of the time (873 Pass Attempts/2,041 plays) since the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Bears threw the ball 38% of the time (376 Pass Attempts/990 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers have scored on 50% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.
The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 64% in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Packers have run 53% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Packers targeted RBs 3% of the time (1 Pass Attempts/34 plays) in Week 17 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (13 completions/33 attempts) in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 66%.
The Bears defense has not recorded a sack (74 pass attempts) in the red zone this season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 15.1.
The Bears defense had 4 interceptions in Week 17 — most in NFL.
The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of 115.2 on 3rd and long (154 Pass Attempts) since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 80.3.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense has one interception and 8 TD passes allowed since Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
40% of the plays ran against the Packers were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 17 — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Packers defense have forced three and outs on 17% of opponent drives this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Packers defense have forced three and outs on 15% of opponent drives in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
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