Browns vs. Ravens Prediction: 2 Bets for Week 10’s AFC North Contest

Ahead of Sunday’s AFC North clash in Baltimore, I’m here to provide a pair of Ravens vs. Browns predictions. 

Both teams enter their Week 10 meeting in good form. The Ravens have won four straight games to sit atop the division, while Cleveland (5-3) has won three of four. 

This marks the second meeting of the season between these sides. In Week 4, the Ravens won 28-3 against a Deshaun Watson-less Browns. 

Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Sunday’s game, as well as my bets for the contest. 

Ravens vs. Browns Betting Odds

• Baltimore Ravens Moneyline: -275
• Cleveland Browns Moneyline: +220
• Game Spread: Baltimore Ravens -6.5 (-110) 
• Game Total: 38 Points

Ravens vs. Browns Predictions

Cleveland Browns Spread (+6.5) 

I bet the Browns when they were listed at +6 and don’t necessarily agree with the move. 

Cleveland matches a number of historically profitable betting systems. 

Divisional underdogs in games with a total less than or equal to 42 points are 60% against the spread since 2018-19. 

Plus, for all his dominance over the NFC, Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson struggles as a divisional favorite. 

For his career, Jackson is 8-11 ATS as a divisional favorite, including 5-10 when he’s -3.5 or higher.

In a game where points are expected to be at a premium – I bet the under as well at 38.5 points – back the Browns to keep it respectable. 

Lamar Jackson Under 18.5 Passing Completions (-135) 

Jackson completed only 15 passes against the Browns in their last meeting. 

With the Ravens once again heavy favorites, bettors should expect a run-heavy game script against a stout Cleveland pass defense. 

The Browns are first in both opponent completions per game (14.8) and opponent completion percentage (55.4%). 

Additionally, they’re first in pass defense DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com. 

It’s also a great sell-high spot on Jackson, who has cleared this number in five of his last six games. 

However, the upgrade in competition should see Jackson go under this total for the first time since Week 8.