Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction: How to Bet Monday’s AFC West Game, Dec. 25

min read
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes looks to pass against the Buffalo Bills during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 10, 2023 in Kansas City, Mo.
(Reed Hoffmann/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Dec 22, 2023, 1:08 PM
  • The Chiefs are -10 against the Raiders.
  • Kansas City earned a road win against the Patriots in Week 15, ending a two-game skid.
  • The Raiders lost 31-17 at home to the Chiefs, and have dropped three of four.

Ahead of Week 16’s AFC West contest, I’m here to provide a Chiefs vs. Raiders prediction. 

After dropping two straight against the Packers and Bills, Kansas City got back to their winning ways in Week 15. As 10-point favorites in New England, the Chiefs won 27-17. 

Regarding the Raiders, they’re coming off their best performance of the season. As three-point home favorites against the Chargers, they won 63-21, ending a three-game losing streak. 

Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Monday’s game, as well as my best bet for the contest. 

Chiefs vs. Raiders Betting Odds

  • Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline: -500
  • Las Vegas Raiders Moneyline: +375
  • Game Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -10
  • Game Total: 40.5 Points

Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction

Las Vegas Raiders Spread (+10) at Kansas City Chiefs

Stomaching a bet on the Raiders after they lost at home to the Chiefs is worrisome, but Las Vegas matches a number of historically profitable trends. 

When a double-digit dog has extended rest – defined here as between eight and 15 days between games – they tend to cover. 

Since 2003-04, such sides are 57% against the spread, including 6-4-1 ATS since the beginning of last season. 

Additionally, divisional underdogs with a total below 42 are 58.8% ATS since the 2018-19 season. 

Lastly, home favorites of -3.5 or higher after playing a road game the previous week are only 41.9% ATS since  2018-19. 

The Chiefs fit that criteria this week. Even if you allow for the possibility that those teams have more than eight days between games, they’re still only 34-45-2 ATS. 

As a result, I’ll back the Raiders so long as they remain available at +10 or better.

NFL Same Game Parlays

Parlays are a great way to take your NFL betting to the next level. And at BetMGM, you can build parlays with a single game.

Same Game Parlays allow bettors to add multiple bets within the same game to increase the excitement and potential payout. You can also combine Same Game Game Parlays with Same Game Parlay Plus (SGP+)

Check out updated NFL odds today to start building parlays!

Sign in to your account today — or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome offer — to start betting. And always check your new account for updated sportsbook promos and bonuses.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx
About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.