Cowboys vs. Eagles Prediction: NFL Week 10 Odds, Betting Picks

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Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) runs 65 yards for a touchdown against the New Orleans Saints in the second half of an NFL football game in New Orleans, Sunday, Sept. 22, 2024. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Nov 04, 2024, 6:22 PM
  • The Cowboys are a 7-point home underdog against the Eagles.
  • The Eagles have won each of their last 10 road games following a home win.
  • My Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction is to use the Eagles in a teaser.

The Eagles will go for a fifth straight win on Sunday in Dallas against the Dak Prescott-less Cowboys.ย 

Philadelphia captured a 28-23 win over Jacksonville in Week 9 to move to 6-2. Since the Eaglesโ€™ bye week, Nick Sirianniโ€™s side is 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS.ย 

Dallasโ€™ struggles continued in Week 9. The Cowboys fell 27-21 in Atlanta, their third straight defeat. A defeat on Sunday would mark Dallas’ fourth straight at home.ย 

Bet on Cowboys vs. Eagles and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.ย 

NFL Week 10 Odds: Cowboys vs. Eagles

Nov 10 - 4 pm EST

Eagles at Cowboys

Cowboys vs. Eagles Prediction

Based on Philadelphiaโ€™s outstanding ground game and Dallasโ€™ inability to stop the run, my Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction is to tease Philadelphia (-1).ย 

Thereโ€™s a simple handicap for this game: Dallas canโ€™t beat teams with effective rushing attacks. Entering Week 10, Dallas sits 32nd in PFFโ€™s rush defense grades.ย 

The Eagles are one of 15 teams with a corresponding offensive grade of 80 or higher. This will mark Dallasโ€™ sixth game of the season against such an opponent.ย 

In the five previous contests, the Cowboys are 0-5 SU while allowing 35.2 points per game. Across all five games, the Cowboys have yet to keep one of those opponents under 27 points.ย 

Philadelphia has played its fair share of games against bad rush defenses, too. In three such contests, the Eagles are 2-1 SU, but they didnโ€™t have A.J. Brown for a loss at Tampa.ย 

If the Eagles can run the ball into a leading game script, I question how Dallasโ€™ passing game exploits a strong Philadelphia pass defense.ย 

The Eagles rank third in PFFโ€™s coverage grades and rank 13th and eighth, respectively, in dropback EPA per play and dropback success rate.ย 

Even with Prescott, Dallasโ€™ offense couldnโ€™t accomplish much through the air.ย 

Entering Week 10, the Cowboys rank 20th in PFFโ€™s passing grades. Dallas also ranks 24th and 23rd, respectively, in dropback EPA per play and dropback success rate.ย 

Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy has also struggled to pick up wins as an underdog. McCarthy is 3-11 SU as a dog with the Cowboys, including 1-6 within the conference.ย 

As a result, Iโ€™ll tease the Eagles down from -7 to -1. For a pairing, Iโ€™ll tease the San Francisco 49ers down from -6.5 to -0.5 against the Bucs.ย 

Cowboys vs. Eagles: NFL Public Betting Trends

Check back on Friday for Cowboys vs. Eagles public betting data and insights.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

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Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.