Broncos Over/Under Wins, 2024 NFL Win Totals

min read
Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton looks on during an NFL football training camp session at the team's headquarters Thursday, July 27, 2023, in Centennial Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jul 11, 2024, 7:40 PM
  • The Broncos’ 2024 win total is set at 5.5 wins at BetMGM.
  • Denver’s last winning season came in 2016. Last year, they won eight games.
  • The case for a lackluster Broncos offense informing a bad 2024 season.

For the 2024 NFL season, the Broncos win total sits at 5.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook

Radical changes occurred in Denver this offseason. On the heels of Russell Wilson’s exit, Denver drafted Bo Nix in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft. 

The Broncos also elected to trade wide receiver Jerry Jeudy, with Lions receiver Josh Reynolds serving as the replacement. 

Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Denver’s 2024 win total. 

Broncos Win Total Odds

The Broncos’ season win total is set at 5.5 games. 

The odds for Denver to win at least six games is -145, an implied probability of 59.2%. 

Meanwhile, the odds for them to finish with five or fewer wins is +120, an implied probability of 45.5%. 

Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all AFC West teams:

Broncos 2024 Schedule

Week NumberOpponent
Week 1Seattle Seahawks (A)
Week 2Pittsburgh Steelers (H)
Week 3Tampa Bay Buccaneers (A)
Week 4New York Jets (A)
Week 5Las Vegas Raiders (H)
Week 6Los Angeles Chargers (H)
Week 7New Orleans Saints (A)
Week 8Carolina Panthers (H)
Week 9Baltimore Ravens (A)
Week 10Kansas City Chiefs (A)
Week 11Atlanta Falcons (H)
Week 12Las Vegas Raiders (A)
Week 13Cleveland Browns (H)
Week 14Bye
Week 15Indianapolis Colts (H)
Week 16Los Angeles Chargers (A)
Week 17Cincinnati Bengals (A)
Week 18Kansas City Chiefs (H)

Broncos 2024 Win Total Prediction

Broncos Under 5.5 Wins (+120)

The Broncos defense may prop up their problems, but I don’t see how their offense does enough to create wins. 

They’ve cut Russell Wilson and traded Jerry Jeudy, arguably their two best offensive weapons. 

In theory, Denver could run the ball behind Javonte Williams and an offensive line that ranked fourth in PFF’s run-blocking grades. 

However, they also lost center Lloyd Cushenberry III this offseason. Last year, Cushenberry ranked third on the Broncos in PFF’s run-blocking grade. 

Denver also plays only eight games this year at home and faces a generally brutal schedule. 

Of their 17 games, four come against the AFC North, two come against the Chiefs and three more come against potential playoff teams – Seattle, the Jets and Atlanta.

Most Wins in Broncos History

The Broncos’ franchise record for most regular season wins is 14. In 1998, the Broncos finished with a 14-2 record and captured the Super Bowl.

Fewest Wins in Broncos History

The Broncos’ franchise record for the fewest regular-season wins is two. Denver has finished with a two-win season three times in the franchise’s history, in 1963, 1964, and 1982.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.