Packers Over/Under Wins, 2024 NFL Win Totals

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Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) rushes during an NFL football game between the Green Bay Packers and New Orleans Saints Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Green Bay, Wis.
(AP Photo/Matt Ludtke)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jul 11, 2024, 7:46 PM
  • The Packers’ 2024 win total is set at 9.5 wins at BetMGM.
  • In the first season behind Jordan Love, Green Bay cleared their win total of 7.5.
  • The case for the Packers to finish under their season win total in 2024.

For the 2024 NFL season, the Packers win total sits at 9.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook

In Jordan Love’s first full season, Green Bay started slow but ultimately earned a playoff spot. 

After starting 2-5, Green Bay finished 7-3 in their final 10 games before falling to the 49ers in the divisional round. 

Some fresh faces arrive in Wisconsin this season to bolster Green Bay. Josh Jacobs replaces Aaron Jones at running back while safety Xavier McKinney provides a boost in the secondary. 

Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Green Bay’s 2024 win total. 

Packers Win Total Odds

The Packers’ season win total is set at 9.5 games for the upcoming season. 

Oddsmakers expect the over is the more likely outcome. Currently, Green Bay is -135 to win 10 or more games, an implied probability of 57.4%. 

Meanwhile, the odds for them to finish with nine or fewer wins is +110, an implied probability of 47.6%. 

Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all NFC North teams:

Packers 2024 Schedule

Week NumberOpponent
Week 1Philadelphia Eagles (A, Brazil)
Week 2Indianapolis Colts (H)
Week 3Tennessee Titans (A)
Week 4Minnesota Vikings (H)
Week 5Los Angeles Rams (A)
Week 6Arizona Cardinals (H)
Week 7Houston Texans (H)
Week 8Jacksonville Jaguars (A)
Week 9Detroit Lions (H)
Week 10Bye
Week 11Chicago Bears (A)
Week 12San Francisco 49ers (H)
Week 13Miami Dolphins (H)
Week 14Detroit Lions (A)
Week 15Seattle Seahawks (A)
Week 16New Orleans Saints (H)
Week 17Minnesota Vikings (A)
Week 18Chicago Bears (H)

Packers 2024 Win Total Prediction

LEAN Packers Under 9.5 Wins (+110)

If Green Bay entered the season with a win total of 10, it might be my favorite under bet of the season. 

At 9.5 wins, it’s strictly a lean based largely on the price. 

Despite the switch at quarterback, Green Bay clearing their total last season wasn’t really a surprise. 

It came after they finished third in the NFC North and faced an easier schedule than the league average. 

The same isn’t true this season – they finished second place last year and face a schedule slightly more difficult than the league average.

Plus, Green Bay has lost the element of surprise with their offense. 

Opponents can learn from Love’s success last season and better prepare to shut down Green Bay, who lost a valuable pass catcher in Aaron Jones. 

Additionally, although I love the Xavier McKinney addition at safety, I still have concerns about the Packers defense. 

Over the last two seasons, Green Bay ranked 23rd and 26th in defensive EPA per play, per rbsdm.com. 

This year, Green Bay plays 13 games against teams who finished 18th or better in offensive EPA per play last season. 

If their offense takes a step back, I worry their defense could lose them some close games. 

As a result, it’s the under or nothing for me in Green Bay. Should this move to 10 wins or under 9.5 wins reaches +130 or better, it’ll become a bet.

Most Wins in Packers History

The Packers franchise record for wins in a single season is 15, achieving that in 2015.

Fewest Wins in Packers History

The Packers’ season with the fewest wins was in 1958 when they won just one game.

NFL Futures Betting at BetMGM

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.