- Following Week 11, Josh Allen (+150) is the favorite to win NFL MVP.
- Prior to the start of the regular season, Patrick Mahomes (+600) was the favorite to win 2024 NFL MVP.
- Based on preseason odds, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow and Jalen Hurts came in as the only other players 10/1 or shorter.
Following NFL Week 11, Bills quarterback Josh Allen (+150) is the current favorite in the 2024-25 NFL MVP Odds.
For all intents and purposes, the MVP race comes down to a three-horse race at this point in the regular season.
Allen is followed on the odds board by Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (+200) and Lions quarterback Jared Goff (+650). Lurking behind that trio on the board are Patrick Mahomes (+1200) and Jalen Hurts (+1400).
For the full list of MVP odds, head to the BetMGM online sportsbook.
NFL MVP Odds 2024
| NFL Player | Current Odds | Preseason Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +1200 | +500 |
| Josh Allen | +150 | +850 |
| Joe Burrow | +4000 | +900 |
| Jalen Hurts | +1400 | +1000 |
| CJ Stroud | +5000 | +1100 |
| Jordan Love | +6000 | +1400 |
| Lamar Jackson | +200 | +1600 |
| Brock Purdy | +4000 | +1800 |
| Jared Goff | +650 | +2200 |
| Kyler Murray | +2000 | +5000 |
| Jayden Daniels | +3000 | +20000 |
2024 NFL MVP Prediction
I predict Jared Goff (+2500) will win the 2024-25 NFL MVP award, based on the Lions’ outstanding offensive record last year and their relatively easy schedule against pass defenses.
Goff has yet to claim the honor in his career but gets a favorable schedule of pass defenses with a top-tier unit.
Last season, the Lions ranked fifth in passing success rate and seventh in pass EPA per play.
This season, they play only seven games against teams who ranked 14th or better in pass defense EPA per play last season. Of the nine remaining games, seven come against teams 21st or worse last year.
Additionally, the Lions play a majority of games at home this year, and all but three games indoors.
While Goff averages the same amount of yards indoors, his mistakes dwindle. For his career, 63% of 82 career interceptions came outdoors.
As a result, Goff is worth a flier at +3000 to win his first NFL MVP award.
Favorites to Win 2024 NFL MVP
Bills quarterback Josh Allen (+150) is the current favorite to win NFL MVP.
However, just behind him on the odds board are Lamar Jackson (+200) and Jared Goff (+650).
Prior to the start of the season, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (+600) was the favorite to win NFL MVP.
That price rated Mahomes as one of only three players at +900 or shorter with Allen (+900) and Joe Burrow (+900) occupying the other two slots.
NFL MVP By Year
| Year | NFL Most Valuable Player |
|---|---|
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2019 | Patrick Mahomes |
| 2018 | Lamar Jackson |
| 2017 | Tom Brady |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan |
| 2015 | Cam Newton |
| 2014 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2013 | Peyton Manning |
| 2012 | Adrian Peterson |
| 2011 | Aaron Rodgers |
| 2010 | Tom Brady |
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