- The Ravens are a 6-point home favorite against the Bengals.
- The Ravens have won eight straight Thursday games at M&T Bank Stadium.
- My Ravens vs. Bengals prediction is for Cincinnati to cover the spread.
The Ravens will look for a second straight win on Thursday night with a divisional contest against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Baltimore throttled the Broncos 41-10 in Week 9. With a third straight home win, Baltimore improved to 6-3 on the season.
The Bengals also avenged a Week 9 defeat with a convincing home win against the Raiders. As big home favorite, Joe Burrow led the Bengals to a win and cover for Cincy’s first home win.
Bet on Ravens vs. Bengals and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Week 10 Odds: Ravens vs. Bengals
Ravens vs. Bengals Prediction, TNF
Based on Baltimore’s weak pass defense and Lamar Jackson’s struggles as a divisional favorite, my Ravens vs. Bengals prediction is the Bengals Spread (+6, -105).
Every parlay and every teaser is likely going to begin with Baltimore. After all, this team is coming off a convincing win and beating Cincinnati away from home.
However, Jackson has historically struggled as a divisional favorite. For his career, the two-time MVP is 10-13 ATS as a divisional favorite, including 2-11 between -7.5 and -3.5.
Comparatively, Burrow has recorded a strong record as an underdog. The LSU product is 14-9 ATS in that spot, including 8-2 ATS at +4.5 or higher.
But what gives me the most confidence in Cincinnati is Baltimore’s lackluster pass defense.
It wasn’t on display against the Broncos, but Baltimore’s defense allowed 392 yards off 30 completions to Burrow in the first meeting.
Prior to Week 9, the Ravens ranked 28th in dropback EPA per play and 26th in dropback success rate, per rbsdm.com.
The Bengals, with Tee Higgins likely back in the lineup, should continue to exploit that weakness.
Cincinnati also matches a historically profitable system in this spot.
Divisional road dogs off a win by 11 or more points as favorites are 64% ATS since 2003, assuming the opponent has between four and eight days between games.
When those dogs are +5.5 or higher: 31-15-2 ATS (67.4%).
Grab the Bengals on a key number now. I’ll back the road dog at +5.5 or better on Thursday night.
Ravens vs. Bengals: NFL Public Betting Trends
Check back on Thursday for Ravens vs. Bengals public betting data and insights.
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