- The Ravens are a 3-point home favorite against the Eagles.
- The Ravens have won each of their last 12 games against NFC opponents.
- My Ravens vs. Eagles prediction depends on the status of Roquan Smith.
Week 13’s marquee matchup pits the Baltimore Ravens against the Philadelphia Eagles.
The Ravens earned a 30-23 win over the Chargers on MNF after dropping a divisional road game against the Steelers. Currently, the Ravens are a half-game back of Pittsburgh in the division.
Philadelphia played on SNF in Los Angeles, besting the Rams 37-20. That gives the Eagles seven straight wins since the bye week and a two-game lead in the NFC East.
Bet on Ravens vs. Eagles and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Week 13 Odds: Ravens vs. Eagles
Dec 1 - 4 pm ESTEagles at Ravens
Ravens vs. Eagles Prediction
If Roquan Smith doesn’t play on Sunday, my Ravens vs. Eagles prediction is the Eagles Spread (+3, -110).
This is such a hard game to handicap.
On the one hand, Philly has yet to lose a game this season with A.J. Brown in the lineup. They’re 8-0 SU and have notched at least 26 points in all but one game.
On the other hand, Lamar Jackson is 23-1 SU against the NFC, including 5-1 against teams with a winning percentage north of 78%.
A lot will be made of the fact Philadelphia’s defense has excelled since the bye week. Dating back to Week 6, Vic Fangio’s unit ranks second in EPA per play and third in success rate.
Although the competition leaves something to be desired, watching the Eagles keep the Bengals to only 17 points is impressive, albeit against a team with no Tee Higgins.
But Baltimore’s offense is the best in the NFL. The Ravens’ 36.4% offensive DVOA rating leads the second-place Lions by 17.3%.
That’s as big a gap between the second-place Lions and the 15th-placed Vikings, per ftnfantasy.com.
That means to cover this number, Philadelphia’s offense needs to deliver a strong performance.
If Smith doesn’t play for Baltimore, it opens up the chance for Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley to run the ball effectively.
Per PFF, Smith ranks second on Baltimore in rush defense grades amongst players with 200 or more snaps played against the run.
If Philadelphia can run the ball and keep the Ravens offense on the sideline, it should allow them to keep this game close.
The Eagles also match a historically profitable betting system in this spot.
Since 2003, road dogs between +1.5 and +3.5 in games 5-17 are 66% ATS, assuming they’re on a three-game ATS cover streak or three-game ATS non-cover streak.
Since 2020, those dogs improve to 71% ATS, including 8-3 in non-conference meetings.
Betting Ravens vs. Eagles: NFL Public Betting
Check back on Friday for Ravens vs. Eagles public betting data and insights.
