- The Panthers are a 1.5-goal home favorite against the Lightning.
- The Lightning have lost each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
- My Panthers vs Lightning prediction is the Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline.
Down 2-0 in the series, the Lightning look to capture a win as road underdogs against the Panthers.
Florida’s 2-0 win in Game 2 provided a 2-0 series edge to the Panthers. This comes after these teams split the season series during the regular season.
For Tampa Bay, the loss in Game 2 marks their third straight. Since April 3, the Lightning own a 3-7 SU record with only one win away from home.
Bet on Panthers vs. Lightning and other NHL matchups with up-to-date NHL odds.
Panthers vs Lightning Odds, NHL
- Florida Panthers Moneyline: -140
- Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline: +118
- Game Spread: Panthers -1.5 (+165), Lightning +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under: 5.5 Goals (-120/+100)
Lightning vs Panthers: Prediction
Based on one historically profitable NHL betting system, the Panthers vs. Lightning prediction for Saturday’s game is the Lightning Moneyline (+118).
Despite the lack of results in the first two games, Tampa Bay’s postseason experience suggests they win at a higher rate than these odds suggest.
Essentially, the theory is to back experienced underdogs off a loss in the playoffs.
Since 2006, conference road underdogs off a loss against a team off a win are 142-147 SU, assuming the dog reached the playoffs the previous year.
Those underdogs have seen greater success recently.
Dating back to the 2018 NHL postseason, such underdogs are 42-34 SU, including 25-19 over the previous three seasons.
It’s also a spot that Tampa Bay has found itself in the past. Tampa Bay fits the system 11 times since 2006, including twice since 2023.
The Lightning are 7-4 in that spot over the entire time frame and 1-1 in their last two matches.
As a result, I like the Lightning to get back into the series on Saturday in Sunrise.
Betting Panthers vs. Lightning: NHL Public Betting
Check back on Saturday for Panthers vs Lightning public betting data and insights.
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