- Illinois (20-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Penn State (19-12)
- Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
- Watch the game on BTN
The Penn State Nittany Lions (19-12) visit United Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (20-11) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Chicago.
Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Penn State vs. Illinois Over/Under is 140.5 total points.
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Penn State vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Penn State | +2.5 -110 | O 140.5 -115 | +120 |
Illinois | -2.5 -110 | U 140.5 -105 | -145 |
Penn State vs Illinois Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 55.2% confidence.
Penn State vs Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Penn State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+7.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Illinois Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Penn State has gone 18-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.8 Units / 0% ROI).
- 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 10.5% ROI
- 17-14 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI
- 14-17 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI
Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois has gone 18-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -8.76% ROI
- 14-17 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI
- 17-14 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Penn State has made 236 three-pointers this season — most among Big 10 Teams
Penn State has made 136 three-pointers in the first half this season — most among Big 10 Teams
Penn State has averaged 5.6 offensive rebounds per game (123 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6
Penn State has averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (190 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4
Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4
Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (296 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Illinois is shooting 67% from the free throw line (285/427) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Penn State has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Penn State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (275 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9
Penn State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (168 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Penn State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (107 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Illinois has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Illinois has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (3,611 points/3,248 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Illinois has allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.2
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