U.S. Open Picks 2023: 1 of These 9 Players Will Win

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Rory McIlroy, of Northern Ireland, waves after his putt on the 18th hole during the third round of the PGA Championship golf tournament at Oak Hill Country Club on Saturday, May 20, 2023, in Pittsford, N.Y.
(AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
Ryan Hannable @RyanHannable Jun 12, 2023, 11:28 AM
  • The U.S. Open is June 15-18 from Los Angeles Country Club.
  • Typically, one of the top players wins this major.
  • Scottie Scheffler (+700) has the best odds to win.

It’s officially U.S. Open week, and one of the best of the year for golf betting, especially at a brand-new course to championship golf like Los Angeles Country Club. 

There are plenty of storylines on the course to follow, including Brooks Koepka going for his second straight major, Rory McIlroy looking to snap his major-less slump, Jon Rahm seeking his second major of the year, Max Homa returning home to California, and many more.

Scottie Scheffler has the best odds to win the U.S. Open at +700.

Picking an outright winner is extremely hard, but there are some trends to know for this week at LACC.

U.S. Open Betting Strategy

Since this is a major championship, naturally, one of the best players in the game is going to win.

Like most events, current form does come into play, so it’s important to look at how a player is performing at the moment.

Los Angeles Country Club is not known to most PGA Tour players, as it hasn’t hosted any event since the 1940s. It did host the 2017 Walker Cup, so some players have a few rounds under their belts.

Even though there’s not much course history to go off of, it is a U.S. Open, so tough conditions with thick rough are expected. Do not expect many low scores this week, as it will be about limiting bogeys and taking advantage of the limited birdie opportunities.

Picking A U.S. Open Winner

Last 10 Winners Were Ranked Inside Top 30 of Official World Golf Rankings

  1. Scottie Scheffler
  2. Jon Rahm
  3. Rory McIlroy
  4. Patrick Cantlay
  5. Viktor Hovland
  6. Xander Schauffele
  7. Max Homa
  8. Matt Fitzpatrick
  9. Cameron Smith
  10. Jordan Spieth
  11. Will Zalatoris
  12. Tony Finau
  13. Brooks Koepka
  14. Tyrrell Hatton
  15. Sam Burns
  16. Justin Thomas
  17. Cameron Young
  18. Collin Morikawa
  19. Sungjae Im
  20. Kurt Kitayama
  21. Tommy Fleetwood
  22. Tom Kim
  23. Jason Day
  24. Keegan Bradley
  25. Justin Rose
  26. Hideki Matsuyama
  27. Shane Lowry
  28. Sahith Theegala
  29. Corey Conners 
  30. Russell Henley

Based on recent history, these are the 29 players (Zalatoris is out due to injury) with a chance to win going into the week based on the Official World Golf Ranking.

Last 10 Winners Had a Previous Top 25 at the Event

  1. Scottie Scheffler
  2. Jon Rahm
  3. Rory McIlroy
  4. Patrick Cantlay
  5. Viktor Hovland
  6. Xander Schauffele
  7. Matt Fitzpatrick
  8. Cameron Smith
  9. Jordan Spieth
  10. Tony Finau
  11. Brooks Koepka
  12. Tyrrell Hatton
  13. Justin Thomas
  14. Collin Morikawa
  15. Sungjae Im
  16. Tommy Fleetwood
  17. Tom Kim
  18. Jason Day
  19. Keegan Bradley
  20. Justin Rose
  21. Hideki Matsuyama
  22. Shane Lowry
  23. Russell Henley

Eliminated: Homa, Burns, Young, Kitayama, Theegala, Conners

Past history has shown success at a prior U.S. Open is needed to win.

9 of the Last 10 U.S. Open Winners Had a Top 10 Finish in the Previous 2 Majors

  1. Scottie Scheffler
  2. Jon Rahm
  3. Rory McIlroy
  4. Patrick Cantlay
  5. Viktor Hovland
  6. Xander Schauffele
  7. Matt Fitzpatrick
  8. Cameron Smith
  9. Jordan Spieth
  10. Brooks Koepka
  11. Collin Morikawa
  12. Justin Rose
  13. Russell Henley

Eliminated: Finau, Hatton, Thomas, Im, Fleetwood, Kim, Day, Bradley, Matsuyama, Lowry

Based on recent years, recent success in a major is required to win a U.S. Open.

8 of the Last 10 U.S. Open Winners Had a Top 10 in Their Previous 2 PGA Tour Starts

  1. Scottie Scheffler
  2. Rory McIlroy
  3. Patrick Cantlay
  4. Viktor Hovland
  5. Matt Fitzpatrick
  6. Cameron Smith (finished in top 10 at previous LIV event)
  7. Jordan Spieth
  8. Brooks Koepka (finished top 10 at PGA Championship)
  9. Justin Rose

Eliminated: Rahm, Schauffele, Morikawa, Henley 

Based on these trends, the winner will either be one of those nine players. Keep this in mind when making your U.S. Open picks this week.

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About the Author

Ryan Hannable

Read More @RyanHannable

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”