U.S. Open Picks 2023: 1 of These 9 Players Will Win

It’s officially U.S. Open week, and one of the best of the year for golf betting, especially at a brand-new course to championship golf like Los Angeles Country Club. 

There are plenty of storylines on the course to follow, including Brooks Koepka going for his second straight major, Rory McIlroy looking to snap his major-less slump, Jon Rahm seeking his second major of the year, Max Homa returning home to California, and many more.

Scottie Scheffler has the best odds to win the U.S. Open at +700.

Picking an outright winner is extremely hard, but there are some trends to know for this week at LACC.

U.S. Open Betting Strategy

Since this is a major championship, naturally, one of the best players in the game is going to win.

Like most events, current form does come into play, so it’s important to look at how a player is performing at the moment.

Los Angeles Country Club is not known to most PGA Tour players, as it hasn’t hosted any event since the 1940s. It did host the 2017 Walker Cup, so some players have a few rounds under their belts.

Even though there’s not much course history to go off of, it is a U.S. Open, so tough conditions with thick rough are expected. Do not expect many low scores this week, as it will be about limiting bogeys and taking advantage of the limited birdie opportunities.

Picking A U.S. Open Winner

Last 10 Winners Were Ranked Inside Top 30 of Official World Golf Rankings

1. Scottie Scheffler
2. Jon Rahm
3. Rory McIlroy
4. Patrick Cantlay
5. Viktor Hovland
6. Xander Schauffele
7. Max Homa
8. Matt Fitzpatrick
9. Cameron Smith
10. Jordan Spieth
11. Will Zalatoris
12. Tony Finau
13. Brooks Koepka
14. Tyrrell Hatton
15. Sam Burns
16. Justin Thomas
17. Cameron Young
18. Collin Morikawa
19. Sungjae Im
20. Kurt Kitayama
21. Tommy Fleetwood
22. Tom Kim
23. Jason Day
24. Keegan Bradley
25. Justin Rose
26. Hideki Matsuyama
27. Shane Lowry
28. Sahith Theegala
29. Corey Conners 
30. Russell Henley

Based on recent history, these are the 29 players (Zalatoris is out due to injury) with a chance to win going into the week based on the Official World Golf Ranking.

Last 10 Winners Had a Previous Top 25 at the Event

1. Scottie Scheffler
2. Jon Rahm
3. Rory McIlroy
4. Patrick Cantlay
5. Viktor Hovland
6. Xander Schauffele
7. Matt Fitzpatrick
8. Cameron Smith
9. Jordan Spieth
10. Tony Finau
11. Brooks Koepka
12. Tyrrell Hatton
13. Justin Thomas
14. Collin Morikawa
15. Sungjae Im
16. Tommy Fleetwood
17. Tom Kim
18. Jason Day
19. Keegan Bradley
20. Justin Rose
21. Hideki Matsuyama
22. Shane Lowry
23. Russell Henley

Eliminated: Homa, Burns, Young, Kitayama, Theegala, Conners

Past history has shown success at a prior U.S. Open is needed to win.

9 of the Last 10 U.S. Open Winners Had a Top 10 Finish in the Previous 2 Majors

1. Scottie Scheffler
2. Jon Rahm
3. Rory McIlroy
4. Patrick Cantlay
5. Viktor Hovland
6. Xander Schauffele
7. Matt Fitzpatrick
8. Cameron Smith
9. Jordan Spieth
10. Brooks Koepka
11. Collin Morikawa
12. Justin Rose
13. Russell Henley

Eliminated: Finau, Hatton, Thomas, Im, Fleetwood, Kim, Day, Bradley, Matsuyama, Lowry

Based on recent years, recent success in a major is required to win a U.S. Open.

8 of the Last 10 U.S. Open Winners Had a Top 10 in Their Previous 2 PGA Tour Starts

1. Scottie Scheffler
2. Rory McIlroy
3. Patrick Cantlay
4. Viktor Hovland
5. Matt Fitzpatrick
6. Cameron Smith (finished in top 10 at previous LIV event)
7. Jordan Spieth
8. Brooks Koepka (finished top 10 at PGA Championship)
9. Justin Rose

Eliminated: Rahm, Schauffele, Morikawa, Henley 

Based on these trends, the winner will either be one of those nine players. Keep this in mind when making your U.S. Open picks this week.