- Collin Morikawa (+1400) is due for a win.
- Tom Hoge and Keegan Bradley are solid players to target for prop bets.
After a week in Vegas, the PGA Tour will head to Japan for the ZOZO Championship, which has an $11 million purse.
It will be played at Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club for the third time. In 2019, Tiger Woods won in epic fashion, and then in 2021, Hideki Matsuyama won in his home country. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, it was his first appearance in Japan since winning the Masters.
Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club is a par-70 course, playing just over 7,000 yards. It’s known for tree-lined fairways, with several bunkers and water hazards that players will want to avoid at all costs. In addition, the greens are unique where each hole has two – one bentgrass and the other Bermuda – to help the course handle seasonal weather changes.
For the event this week, they will be playing the bentgrass greens, which is something I will be factoring in when building my card. Additionally, with the tree-lined fairways and trouble lurking, I will be targeting consistent ball-strikers.
The course reminds me a little of Augusta National, so I will be targeting players who play well there.
It’s a no-cut event, with just 78 players in the field, so my card will lean toward better players, instead of some long shots.
ZOZO Championship Predictions 2022: 3 Picks
- Collin Morikawa To Win Outright +1400 (1 Unit)
- Tom Hoge Top-10 Finish +300 (1 Unit)
- Keegan Bradley Top-20 Finish +100 (1 Unit)
Morikawa is due. The 25-year-old’s last win overall was the 2021 DP World Tour Championship (November) and his last PGA Tour win was the 2021 Open Championship (July). This is too long of a drought for the No. 9-ranked player in the world.
His ball-striking will serve him well this week, as well as putting his best on bentgrass greens. It’s also worth noting Morikawa finished fifth at the Masters last year, at a course very similar to this week.
Hoge was one of the few players who could have been considered a Presidents Cup snub, and he’s started this season with two straight top-12 finishes. Perhaps, he used it as extra motivation.
Following a final-round 64 in Vegas, Hoge comes into the event with plenty of confidence.
Lastly, while I considered Bradley for a higher finish play, getting him at plus-money for a top-20 finish was too good to pass up. In his last two appearances at Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club, he finished T-13 and T-7.
Season Record: 1-7, -5.5 units (Last week: 0-2, -2 units).
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