- The Phillies are -105 favorites vs the Giants
- Phillies starting pitcher: Bailey Falter
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Monday, May 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Phillies vs Giants Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 20-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 18-22 ATS.
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -120 | -105 |
| Giants | +1.5 -185 | U 9 +100 | -115 |
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 34 games (+11.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+8.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Wood | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+4.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.15 Units / 52% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+6.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+4.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 17-23 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -21.75% ROI).
- 20-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -9.71% ROI
- 17-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -15.59% ROI
- 22-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 8.27% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 18-22 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -13.06% ROI).
- 17-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -21.08% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -7.05% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -1.04% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 23 of Bailey Falter’s 129 off-speed pitches out of the zone (18%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (6/53) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (68/154) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has allowed a slugging percentage of .605 (26 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .390 — second Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (175/474) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 24 of Alex Wood’s 195 fastballs in off the plate (12%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (298/872) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Wood has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to August 31st, 2022 — John Brebbia has the longest active streak at 13.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 19-74 (.204) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Phillies are just 1-8 (.111) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Phillies are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Phillies are 23-23 (.500) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are just 5-6 (.455) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Giants are just 11-7 (.611) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Giants are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Giants are just 15-32 (.319) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .525 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Phillies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Phillies are batting .283 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Phillies are batting .184 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .389 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Giants hitters are slugging .449 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Giants hitters have 262 strikeouts in 1,050 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters are slugging .626 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .563.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 15 double plays in 256 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 5.83 (185.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 113 of 1,795 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 24 of 356 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Toe, Day-to-Day
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
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