- Brentford is predicted to be a -0.5-goal home favorite against Man United.
- Manchester United has won six of its last seven EPL matches following a league draw.
- My Brentford vs. Man United prediction is a creative backing of Brentford.
After playing a Thursday match against Nottingham Forest, Brentford returns home on Sunday to face Manchester United.
It’s essentially a meaningless fixture on Sunday with neither side playing for much in the league. Brentford, irrespective of Thursday’s result, will remain in EPL purgatory.
Manchester United sits 14th in the league table and hasn’t won a league match since March 16. Earlier this season, United came from behind to beat Brentford 2-1.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Brentford vs. Man United prediction.
Brentford vs. Man United: Premier League Odds
- Brentford Moneyline: -150
- Man United Moneyline: +375
- Draw Moneyline: +310
- Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-165/+120)
- Both Teams to Score: “Yes” (-160), “No” (+110)
Man United vs. Brentford: Prediction
Based on Manchester United’s lack of interest in league fixtures and scheduling spot, my Brentford vs Man United prediction is Brentford in the First 60 Minutes (-102).
Currently, the only competition that matters for Manchester United is the Europa League. That’s the only competition giving the Red Devils an avenue to the Champions League.
Accordingly, manager Ruben Amorim has shown no issue rotating heavily in between those fixtures.
This Thursday, United travel to Spain for a meeting against Athletic Club before a second leg next Thursday at Old Trafford.
The last time that happened, United rotated talisman Bruno Fernandes out of the Starting XI. At home against Wolves, they entered the 60th minute tied 0-0 with only two shots on goal.
Now, they’re on the road against Brentford, who have excelled against this prop as a favorite this season.
On eight occasions, Brentford closed at +105 on the moneyline. They’ve won the first hour in seven of those eight matches.
While Brentford didn’t win the first hour at United earlier this season, they took a lead into halftime.
Generally, Brentford played far better at home this year. Not including Thursday’s match, Brentford are 0.53 expected goals per 90 better at home (+0.29 vs. -0.24), per fbref.com.
United, irrespective of their starting lineup, posted a 2-7-8 (W-D-L) record inside the first hour away from home last year. In their last five: 1-0-4 (W-D-L).
So, although it’s a short rest spot for Brentford, I like the hosts to take a lead into the hour mark.
Premier League Match Schedule
| Home | Away | Date | Time (ET) | Location |
| Nottingham Forest | Brentford | May. 1 | 2:30 p.m. | The City Ground |
| Manchester City | Wolves | May. 2 | 3 p.m. | Etihad Stadium |
| Aston Villa | Fulham | May. 3 | 7:30 a.m. | Villa Park |
| Everton | Ipswich Town | May. 3 | 10 a.m. | Goodison Park |
| Leicester City | Southampton | May. 3 | 10 a.m. | King Power Stadium |
| Arsenal | Bournemouth | May. 3 | 12:30 p.m. | Emirates Stadium |
| Brentford | Manchester United | May. 4 | 9 a.m. | GTech Community Stadium |
| Brighton | Newcastle United | May. 4 | 9 a.m. | Amex Stadium |
| West Ham | Tottenham | May. 4 | 9 a.m. | London Stadium |
| Chelsea | Liverpool | May. 4 | 11:30 a.m. | Stamford Bridge |
| Crystal Palace | Nottingham Forest | May. 5 | 3 p.m. | Selhurst Park |
Premier League ATS Records
| Team | ATS Record | ATS% | Home ATS Record | Home ATS% | Road ATS Record | Road ATS% |
| Arsenal | 12-16-6 | 44.1% | 4-9-4 | 35.3% | 8-7-2 | 52.9% |
| Aston Villa | 15-18-1 | 45.6% | 7-9-1 | 44.1% | 8-9-0 | 47.1% |
| Bournemouth | 18-14-2 | 55.9% | 8-9-0 | 47.1% | 10-5-2 | 64.7% |
| Brentford | 20-11-2 | 63.6% | 10-7-0 | 58.8% | 10-4-2 | 68.8% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 18-15-1 | 54.4% | 8-9-0 | 47.1% | 10-6-1 | 61.8% |
| Chelsea | 12-19-3 | 39.7% | 6-9-2 | 41.2% | 6-10-1 | 38.2% |
| Crystal Palace | 18-12-4 | 58.8% | 7-6-4 | 52.9% | 11-6-0 | 64.7% |
| Everton | 17-11-6 | 58.8% | 8-7-2 | 52.9% | 9-4-4 | 64.7% |
| Fulham | 18-12-4 | 58.8% | 8-9-0 | 47.1% | 9-4-4 | 64.7% |
| Ipswich Town | 13-19-2 | 41.2% | 4-13-0 | 23.5% | 9-6-2 | 58.8% |
| Leicester City | 15-18-1 | 45.6% | 6-11-0 | 35.3% | 9-7-1 | 55.9% |
| Liverpool | 16-16-2 | 50.0% | 7-8-2 | 47.1% | 9-8-0 | 52.9% |
| Manchester City | 12-22-0 | 35.3% | 6-11-0 | 35.3% | 6-11-0 | 35.3% |
| Manchester United | 14-16-4 | 47.1% | 7-8-2 | 47.1% | 7-8-2 | 47.1% |
| Newcastle United | 20-13-1 | 60.3% | 12-5-0 | 70.6% | 8-8-1 | 50.0% |
| Nottingham Forest | 21-12-0 | 63.6% | 10-6-0 | 62.5% | 11-6-0 | 64.7% |
| Southampton | 12-18-4 | 41.2% | 3-12-2 | 23.5% | 9-6-2 | 58.8% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 12-21-1 | 36.8% | 6-10-1 | 38.2% | 6-11-0 | 35.3% |
| West Ham United | 17-15-2 | 52.9% | 6-10-1 | 38.2% | 11-6-0 | 64.7% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 18-13-3 | 57.4% | 8-7-2 | 52.9% | 10-6-1 | 61.8% |
Premier League Standings
| Team | Record (Wins-Draws-Losses) | Points | Goal Differential |
| Liverpool | 25-7-2 | 82 | 48 |
| Arsenal | 18-13-3 | 68 | 34 |
| Newcastle United | 19-5-10 | 62 | 21 |
| Manchester City | 18-7-9 | 61 | 23 |
| Chelsea | 17-9-8 | 60 | 19 |
| Nottingham Forest | 18-6-9 | 60 | 14 |
| Aston Villa | 16-9-9 | 57 | 5 |
| Fulham | 14-9-11 | 51 | 4 |
| Brighton | 13-13-8 | 51 | 1 |
| Bournemouth | 13-11-10 | 50 | 12 |
| Brentford | 13-7-13 | 46 | 6 |
| Crystal Palace | 11-12-11 | 45 | -4 |
| Wolves | 12-5-17 | 41 | -10 |
| Manchester United | 10-9-15 | 39 | -8 |
| Everton | 8-14-12 | 38 | -7 |
| Tottenham | 11-4-19 | 37 | 6 |
| West Ham | 9-9-16 | 36 | -19 |
| Ipswich Town | 4-9-21 | 21 | -41 |
| Leicester City | 4-6-24 | 18 | -49 |
| Southampton | 2-5-27 | 11 | -55 |
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