Crystal Palace Prediction: 2024 EPL Betting Preview

It looked as if Crystal Palace could face relegation at the end of last season. 

However, a late managerial switch from Roy Hodgson to Oliver Glasner proved fruitful. Under Glasner, Palace finished the season 6-1-0 (W-D-L) to finish 10th. 

They’ll look to repeat that feat this season after selling talisman Michael Olise to Bayern Munich. 

Here’s a look at the EPL odds, Crystal Palace odds and my betting predictions for Crystal Palace’s campaign. 

Crystal Palace Futures Odds

• League Winner: +20000
• Top-Half Finish: +110
• Bottom-Half Finish: -155
• Relegation Odds: +900

Crystal Palace Notable Permanent Additions

• Chadi Riad, Defender (Real Betis)
• Daichi Kamada, Midfielder (Lazio)
• Ismaila Sarr, Winger (Marseille)

Crystal Palace Prediction, 2024 Premier League

If Crystal Palace sell both Eberechi Eze and Marc Guehi before the transfer window closes, I predict they could be relegated. 

That’s a big if at the moment with Eze linked to Tottenham and Guehi linked to Newcastle. However, it would severely limit Palace’s attack. 

Last season, Palace combined for 84.1 non-penalty expected goals plus expected assists. Eze and Olise accounted for nearly 29% of that total. 

Olise is already out. If Eze leaves, it leaves Glasner’s side with only three players that amassed more than seven npxG + xA. 

Plus, with Eze and Olise on the field, Palace saw their expected goal differential per 90 minutes rise by +0.36 and +0.68, respectively, per fbref.com. 

As for Guehi, it’s difficult to estimate the impact of his departure on Glasner, given he made only a single start under the German. 

But Guehi started 37 matches in the 2022-23 season. Without him on the pitch, Palace saw their expected goal differential per 90 drop by 1.9 expected goals per 90 minutes, per fbref.com. 

If both of those players depart, it leaves Palace vulnerable at the back with little attacking support to overcome that difference. 

Irrespective of the situation last year, Palace wasn’t very good on level terms or from behind. 

In such situations, Palace posted a -10 expected goal differential. When playing with a lead, they posted a +3.94 expected goal differential, per understat.com. 

Last season, Palace played 14 matches under Glasner. 

They scored the first goal of the game in 12 of those games, with seven of those goals coming in the first 15 minutes! 

That tells me Glasner’s system works with a lead, but will it if Palace constantly finds itself in a deficit? 

Accordingly, +900 on Palace being relegated is worth a bet, but only if the two aforementioned players depart.