Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

(AP Photo/Ian Walton)
  • Crystal Palace is a +0.5-goal home underdog against Chelsea.
  • Chelsea has won either half in each of its last 14 EPL matches against Crystal Palace.
  • My Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea prediction is a Same Game Parlay.

Off a shocking loss as road favorites against Ipswich, Chelsea travel back to London for a meeting with Crystal Palace.ย 

Enzo Marescaโ€™s side lost 2-0 against the Tractor Boys, their second consecutive defeat in the league. With those results, the Blues currently sit fourth in the league table.ย 

Palace picked up a 2-1 home win against Southampton on Matchday 19, ending a two-match winless run. In the last meeting against Chelsea, Palace drew 1-1.ย 

Check out the Premier League odds and my Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea prediction.ย 

Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea Odds, Premier League

Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea Prediction

Based on Chelseaโ€™s strong record against Crystal Palace and their leaky defense, my Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea prediction is a SGP: Chelsea +0.5 and Over 2.5 Goals (+105).ย 

Chelsea bossed Crystal Palace in the last meeting and proved unlucky to walk away with only a point.ย 

Marescaโ€™s side won the expected goals battle 2.37-0.54, the big chances battle 5-0 and the post-shot xG battle 2.76-1.08, per fotmob.com.ย 

That renders the 1-1 scoreline unlucky for Chelsea, which have captured at least a point in 21 of the last 25 league meetings against Palace.ย 

The crux of this play, though, is the total over 2.5 goals.ย 

Palace home matches have proved extremely eventful when they close a home underdog.ย 

Both Arsenal and Manchester City surpassed 2.2 post-shot xG against Oliver Glasnerโ€™s side. At the same time, the Eagles attack cleared 1.1 post-shot xG in both meetings.ย 

Each of those matches cleared 3.5 goals, so the fact this match features a total set at 2.5 is somewhat surprising.ย 

Plus, Chelsea road matches have proved extremely eventful.ย 

Their first 10 trips away from Stamford Bridge have combined to feature 37 expected goals or 3.7 xG per match.ย 

As it stands, only Liverpool have created more xG away from home than Chelsea.ย 

Palace home matches have featured 2.73 expected goals per 90 minutes. Theyโ€™re also a positive regression candidate offensively, having scored nine home goals off 14.4 expected.ย 

History also likes this match clearing 2.5 goals.ย 

Since 2019, matches featuring a home dog and a total set at 2.5 are 64% to the over, assuming the dogโ€™s previous game margin falls between +1 and +3.ย 

As a result, back a high-scoring match on Saturday in which Chelsea earns points.ย 

EPL Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the premier sportsbook for EPL betting opportunities throughout the year.

Whether you’re looking for futures, over/under totals, or player props, there’s something for everyone. Check out the soccer betting page today to get closer to the action as teams battle for the Premier League Trophy.

Sign in to your account today โ€” or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome bonus โ€” to start betting. And donโ€™t forget to check updated sportsbook bonuses and promos each day of the year.

jamie-foxx-latest-promo-9-24
About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.