- Fulham is a -0.5-goal home favorite against Bournemouth.
- Fulham has scored at least one goal in 16 of its last 17 EPL matches.
- My Fulham vs. Bournemouth prediction focuses on the prop markets.
Off a strong London Derby victory against Chelsea, Fulham returns home for a meeting with Bournemouth.
Marco Silva’s side sits eighth in the league table after a 2-1 win over the Blues. Currently, the Cottagers find themselves a six-match unbeaten run.
Bournemouth struggled on Boxing Day, playing to a 0-0 draw against Crystal Palace. Still, Andoni Iraola’s side sits sixth in the table and is also unbeaten in six.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Fulham vs. Bournemouth prediction.
Fulham vs. Bournemouth Odds, Premier League
Fulham vs. Bournemouth Prediction
Based on Bournemouth’s weak first-half attacking metrics and Fulham’s strong starts, my Fulham vs. Bournemouth prediction is Fulham to Score First (-120).
This price is somewhat surprising given Fulham’s ability to constantly find the net first.
Although Silva’s side failed to score first at Chelsea, that’s generally the exception to their record. Through 18 matches, Fulham has opened the scoring 12 times.
The record improves when Fulham plays at Craven Cottage. In nine home matches, Fulham opened the scoring seven times.
Now Fulham faces a Bournemouth side that generally struggles out of the gates.
According to understat.com, Bournemouth created 39.12 expected goals this season. Of that total, 59% came after halftime, with 11.99 xG coming after the 76th minute.
It’s also a solid sell-high spot on the Cherries’ success scoring first away from home.
Bournemouth have scored the first goal three times in their last four road games. Before, they conceded the first goal in five straight away contests.
The Cherries, who won’t have either Justin Kluivert or Marcus Tavernier on Sunday, also struggled in their last trip to Craven Cottage.
A 3-1 defeat saw Fulham score inside the first five minutes, with Silva’s side taking a 2-0 lead into halftime.
In that first half, post-shot xG gave a 2.7-0.3 edge for the hosts.
As a result, grab Fulham to open the scoring and continue their positive momentum at home.
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