- Fulham is predicted to be a -0.5-goal home favorite against Tottenham.
- Each of Fulham's last five EPL Sunday day matches have resulted in a draw.
- My Fulham vs. Tottenham prediction is for Fulham to earn all three points.
It’s a London Derby on Sunday at Craven Cottage with Fulham hosting Tottenham Hotspur.
Fulham conceded a late penalty to fall 2-1 at Brighton on Matchday 28. It’s only the fifth time this season Fulham failed to cover the spread away from home.
Tottenham fell behind 2-0 at home against Bournemouth but stormed back with two late goals to rescue a point. Still, Tottenham sit 13th in the league table.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Fulham vs. Tottenham prediction.
Fulham vs. Tottenham: Premier League Odds
- Fulham Moneyline: +100
- Tottenham Moneyline: +230
- Draw Moneyline: +290
- Game Spread: Fulham -0.5 (-110), Tottenham +0.5 (-130)
- Game Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-200/+140)
Fulham vs. Tottenham Prediction
Based on Fulham’s bad luck against Brighton and Tottenham’s short rest spot, my Fulham vs. Tottenham prediction is the Fulham Moneyline (+100).
Fulham arrive at Sunday’s clash a major positive regression candidate at home.
Marco Silva’s side sits on a -1 goal differential at Craven Cottage compared to a +2.1 expected goal differential, per fbref.com.
This could be the spot to back that regression is coming. They’ll get Tottenham on short rest off a thoroughly undeserved result at home.
Spurs drew 2-2 against Bournemouth, but Ange Postecoglou’s side lost the match 2.54-1.1 on post-shot xG and 2.54-0.32 if you remove Tottenham’s penalty kick.
A similar fate befell Fulham, which lost the match on a last-gasp Brighton penalty.
Plus, Fulham have dominated Tottenham of late.
They edged Tottenham 1.66-1.05 on post-shot xG in the reverse fixture and captured a 2.6-0.86 edge on post-shot xG in the last meeting at Craven Cottage.
Tottenham also faces a Thursday Europa League match at home that’s must win. Accordingly, there could be a rotated lineup on Sunday at Craven Cottage.
History also likes this spot to back Fulham.
Since 2012, favorites between -119 and +113 against a previous underdog are 54-28 SU, assuming two factors:
- The opposing team’s win percentage falls between 25% and 43%
- The favorite’s previous game margin is -1 or +1
Those favorites are 32-12 SU coming off a one-goal defeat and 31-13 SU as home favorites, irrespective of the result.
But when they’re a home favorite off a one-goal loss, those favorites improve to 19-7 SU.
As a result, I like Fulham to earn all three points on Sunday in London.
Premier League Match Schedule
| Home | Away | Date | Time (ET) | Location |
| Nottingham Forest | Chelsea | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | The City Ground |
| Southampton | Arsenal | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | St. Mary's Stadium |
| Liverpool | Crystal Palace | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Anfield |
| Ipswich Town | West Ham | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Portman Road |
| Bournemouth | Leicester City | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Vitality Stadium |
| Man United | Aston Villa | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Old Trafford |
| Newcastle | Everton | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | St. James' Park |
| Tottenham | Brighton | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
| Wolves | Brentford | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Molineux |
| Fulham | Manchester City | May. 25 | 11 a.m. | Craven Cottage |
Premier League ATS Records
| Team | ATS Record | ATS% | Home ATS Record | Home ATS% | Road ATS Record | Road ATS% |
| Arsenal | 14-17-6 | 45.9% | 5-10-4 | 36.8% | 9-7-2 | 55.6% |
| Aston Villa | 18-18-1 | 50.0% | 9-9-1 | 50.0% | 9-9-0 | 50.0% |
| Bournemouth | 19-16-2 | 54.1% | 8-10-0 | 44.4% | 11-6-2 | 63.2% |
| Brentford | 22-12-3 | 63.5% | 11-8-0 | 57.9% | 11-4-3 | 69.4% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 21-15-1 | 58.1% | 10-9-0 | 52.6% | 11-6-1 | 63.9% |
| Chelsea | 13-20-4 | 40.5% | 7-9-3 | 44.7% | 6-11-1 | 36.1% |
| Crystal Palace | 20-13-4 | 59.5% | 8-7-4 | 52.6% | 12-6-0 | 66.7% |
| Everton | 19-12-6 | 59.5% | 9-8-2 | 52.6% | 10-4-4 | 66.7% |
| Fulham | 18-14-4 | 55.6% | 8-10-0 | 44.4% | 10-5-4 | 63.2% |
| Ipswich Town | 14-20-3 | 41.9% | 4-13-1 | 25.0% | 10-7-2 | 57.9% |
| Leicester City | 18-18-1 | 50.0% | 8-11-0 | 42.1% | 10-7-1 | 58.3% |
| Liverpool | 16-19-2 | 45.9% | 7-9-2 | 44.4% | 9-10-0 | 47.4% |
| Manchester City | 13-24-0 | 35.1% | 7-12-0 | 36.8% | 6-12-0 | 33.3% |
| Manchester United | 14-18-5 | 44.6% | 7-9-2 | 44.4% | 7-9-3 | 44.7% |
| Newcastle United | 21-15-1 | 58.1% | 13-5-0 | 72.2% | 8-10-1 | 44.7% |
| Nottingham Forest | 23-14-0 | 62.2% | 10-8-0 | 55.6% | 13-6-0 | 68.4% |
| Southampton | 13-20-4 | 40.5% | 4-12-2 | 27.8% | 9-8-2 | 52.6% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 13-23-1 | 36.5% | 6-11-1 | 36.1% | 7-12-0 | 36.8% |
| West Ham United | 18-17-2 | 51.4% | 6-12-1 | 34.2% | 12-6-0 | 66.7% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 19-15-3 | 55.4% | 8-8-2 | 50.0% | 11-7-1 | 60.5% |
Premier League Standings
| Team | Record (Wins-Draws-Losses) | Points | Goal Differential |
| Liverpool | 25-8-4 | 83 | 45 |
| Arsenal | 19-14-4 | 71 | 34 |
| Manchester City | 20-8-9 | 68 | 26 |
| Newcastle United | 20-6-11 | 66 | 22 |
| Chelsea | 19-9-9 | 66 | 20 |
| Aston Villa | 19-9-9 | 66 | 9 |
| Nottingham Forest | 19-8-10 | 65 | 13 |
| Brighton | 15-14-8 | 58 | 4 |
| Brentford | 16-7-14 | 55 | 9 |
| Fulham | 15-9-13 | 54 | 2 |
| Bournemouth | 14-11-12 | 53 | 9 |
| Crystal Palace | 13-13-11 | 52 | 0 |
| Everton | 10-15-12 | 45 | -3 |
| Wolves | 12-5-20 | 41 | -15 |
| West Ham | 10-10-17 | 40 | -18 |
| Manchester United | 10-9-18 | 39 | -12 |
| Tottenham | 11-5-21 | 38 | 2 |
| Leicester City | 6-7-24 | 25 | -45 |
| Ipswich Town | 4-10-23 | 22 | -44 |
| Southampton | 2-6-29 | 12 | -59 |
EPL Early Payout
When betting on EPL Match Result odds, you can receive an early payout if your team takes a 2-0 lead.
Check your Promotions for more info!
