- Ipswich Town is a 0.5-goal home favorite against Leicester City.
- Leicester has won four of its last five league day matches against Ipswich.
- My Ipswich Town vs. Leicester City prediction is for Leicester to cover the spread.
Two promoted teams meet on Sunday at Portman Road with Ipswich Town hosting Leicester City.
Ipswich Town enters Saturday’s match in horrific form. Kieran McKenna’s side has yet to pick up a league win this season and has lost three matches on the bounce.
Leicester has experienced mixed league results. The Foxes have only two wins and five results, with both wins coming in their last three matches.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Ipswich Town vs. Leicester City prediction.
Premier League Odds: Ipswich Town vs. Leicester City
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | +0.5 (-160) | 2.5 (-150) | +200 |
| Ipswich Town | -0.5 (+115) | 2.5 (+110) | +125 |
| Draw | +250 |
Premier League Betting: Ipswich Town vs. Leicester City Prediction
Based on Ipswich’s weak record against Leicester and the visitors’ strong record as a dog, my Ipswich Town vs. Leicester City prediction is the Leicester City Spread (+0.5, -160).
Although it’s a lot of juice to lay on a bad team, Leicester matches a historically profitable system in this spot.
Since 2012, half-goal underdogs in games 2-12 are 72% ATS against previous road dogs, assuming the juice falls between -205 and +102.
When the opponent has eight or fewer days between games, the system improves to 75% ATS.
Leicester also dominated Ipswich Town last season in the Championship.
While both meetings finished in a 1-1 draw, Leicester produced superior underlying metrics. Across both meetings, Leicester recorded a +1.3 post-shot xGDiff, staying within this number in both meetings.
Additionally, Leicester have performed well as underdogs this season.
The Foxes are 5-2-1 ATS as underdogs this season, including 4-3 ATS against +0.5.
Two previous matches stand out amongst that set: at Crystal Palace and Southampton.
While Leicester quickly fell behind 2-0 in the latter, Southampton had extended rest coming out of the international break.
In the former, Leicester jumped out to a 2-0 advantage before settling for a 2-2 draw. But Leicester dominated the metrics, winning 2.2-1 on non-penalty psxG.
As a result, I’ll take the visitors to avoid defeat on Saturday.
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