- Liverpool is a -1.5-goal home favorite against Manchester United.
- Liverpool has scored at least two goals in each of its last 11 EPL matches.
- My Liverpool vs. Manchester United prediction focuses on the game props.
Sunday’s marquee Premier League fixture sees Liverpool host Manchester United at Anfield.
Liverpool’s successes continued on Sunday with a 5-0 throttling of West Ham United. That marks a third straight league win for the Reds, who sit eight points clear atop the table.
Manchester United suffered a 2-0 home loss against Newcastle on Monday, their third straight loss in the league. Currently, United sits 14th in the league table.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Liverpool vs. Manchester United prediction.
Liverpool vs. Manchester United Odds, Premier League
Liverpool vs. Manchester United Prediction
Based on Liverpool’s strong attacking metrics and their outstanding record defending leads, my Liverpool vs. Manchester United prediction is Liverpool HT/FT (-135).
Bettors should expect United’s struggles to continue against their rivals, which captured a 3-0 road win earlier this season at Old Trafford.
Over the last three head-to-head meetings, Liverpool have dominated the Red Devils.
Although Liverpool earned all three points only once in the last three meetings, they recorded a +4.84 post-shot expected goal differential across all three, per fotmob.com.
In the trip to Old Trafford earlier this season, Liverpool captured a 2.44-0.64 edge on post-shot xG, including a 1.67-0.03 edge in the first half.
United has conceded at least once in four of their last five first halves, including a trip as road dogs to Manchester City.
Although United came from behind to win that match 2-1, don’t expect a similar result against Liverpool.
This season, Liverpool owns a +7.81 xGDiff with a one-goal lead and a +4.71 xGDiff with a lead of multiple goals, per understat.com.
They’ve also captured outright victories in seven of nine at Anfield this season.
History also suggests Liverpool are primed to earn all three points for the eighth time in 10 home matches this season.
Since 2012, favorites that closed as a favorite in their previous game and have scored at least three goals in three straight games are 58-25 SU.
When those sides are coming off a win by five or more goals: 6-2 SU, including 4-1 as home favorites.
Pair those trends with Liverpool’s previous success against United and bettors should take the hosts to cruise on Sunday.
Related Articles
EPL Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the premier online sportsbook for EPL betting throughout the year.
With EPL futures and weekly odds, including match winner odds, over/under totals, and player props, there are a variety of opportunities to bet online!
If you don’t have an account, register today with BetMGM’s welcome offer. Once you have an account, check for daily sports betting promos.
