Newcastle vs Ipswich Town Prediction & Odds

  • Newcastle is predicted to be a -1.5-goal home favorite against Ipswich Town.
  • Newcastle United has won seven straight EPL matches against promoted teams.
  • My Newcastle vs. Ipswich Town prediction is Newcastle over 2.5 goals.

Following a blowout defeat at Aston Villa, Newcastle returns home for a meeting with Ipswich Town.ย 

In the absence of manager Eddie Howe, Newcastle fell 4-1 at Aston Villa last weekend. That ended a six-game winning streak in all competitions for Newcastle.ย 

Ipswich Town struggled at home on Matchday 33, losing 4-0 to Arsenal. The loss all but guarantees relegation for Ipswich, which sits 15 points from safety with five to play.ย 

Check out the Premier League odds and my Newcastle vs. Ipswich Town prediction.ย 

Newcastle vs Ipswich Town: Premier League Odds

  • Newcastle United Moneyline: -475
  • Ipswich Town Moneyline: +1200
  • Draw Moneyline: +575
  • Game Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+100/-140)
  • Both Teams to Score: โ€œYesโ€ (-110), โ€œNoโ€ (-135)

Ipswich Town vs Newcastle: Prediction

Based on Newcastleโ€™s strong attacking record after a bad loss and Ipswich Townโ€™s weak defense, my Newcastle vs Ipswich Town prediction is Newcastle Over 2.5 Goals (-130).ย 

This season, Newcastle have thoroughly dominated the three weakest defenses in the league.

Save for their one-goal output against Southampton on Matchday 1 โ€“ Newcastle played down a man for an hour โ€“ theyโ€™ve cleared this number in four straight against promoted teams.ย 

Whatโ€™s even more impressive about that output is that three straight have come away from home. When Newcastle traveled to Ipswich Town, they scored four goals.ย 

But there are two matches within that sample worth examining closely: at home to Leicester on Matchday 16 and at Southampton on Matchday 23.ย 

Both followed losses for Newcastle after allowing four goals in a defeat. In those two matches, Newcastle notched seven goals off 6.7 expected goals and seven post-shot xG.ย 

Dating back to last season, Newcastle closed as a market favorite six times off allowing a four-plus goal output. Theyโ€™re 6-0 to over 2.5 goals over that span.ย 

Irrespective of opponents, Ipswich Town allowed at least three goals in 10 games this season. Six of those occurrences have occurred since January 19.ย 

Against teams fifth or better in expected goals, Ipswich allowed three or more goals four times in nine matches, with all but two teams reaching two goals.ย 

As a result, I like Newcastle running rampant on Saturday at home after a poor result.ย 

Premier League Match Schedule

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Manchester CityAston VillaApr. 223 p.m.Etihad Stadium
Arsenal Crystal PalaceApr. 233 p.m.Emirates Stadium
ChelseaEvertonApr. 267:30 a.m.Stamford Bridge
SouthamptonFulhamApr. 2610 a.m.St. Mary's Stadium
BrightonWest Ham UnitedApr. 2610 a.m.Amex Stadium
Newcastle UnitedIpswich TownApr. 2610 a.m.St. James' Park
WolvesLeicester CityApr. 2610 a.m.Molinneux
BournemouthManchester UnitedApr. 279 a.m.Vitality Stadium
LiverpoolTottenhamApr. 2711:30 a.m.Anfield

Premier League ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS%Home ATS RecordHome ATS%Road ATS RecordRoad ATS%
Arsenal12-15-645.5%4-8-437.5%8-7-252.9%
Aston Villa15-17-147.0%7-9-144.1%8-8-050.0%
Bournemouth18-13-257.6%8-8-050.0%10-5-264.7%
Brentford20-11-263.6%10-7-058.8%10-4-268.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion17-15-153.0%7-9-043.8%10-6-161.8%
Chelsea12-19-239.4%6-9-140.6%6-10-138.2%
Crystal Palace17-12-457.6%7-6-452.9%10-6-062.5%
Everton17-11-559.1%8-7-252.9%9-4-365.6%
Fulham18-12-35.1%8-9-047.1%9-4-365.6%
Ipswich Town13-18-242.4%4-13-023.5%9-5-262.5%
Leicester City15-17-147.0%6-11-035.3%9-6-159.4%
Liverpool15-16-248.5%6-8-243.8%9-8-052.9%
Manchester City11-22-033.3%5-11-031.3%6-11-035.3%
Manchester United13-16-445.5%7-8-247.1%6-8-243.8%
Newcastle United19-13-159.1%11-5-068.8%8-8-150.0%
Nottingham Forest21-12-063.6%10-6-062.5%11-6-064.7%
Southampton12-18-340.9%3-12-121.9%9-6-258.8%
Tottenham Hotspur12-20-137.9%6-10-138.2%6-10-037.5%
West Ham United17-15-153.0%6-10-138.2%11-5-068.8%
Wolverhampton Wanderers17-13-356.1%7-7-250.0%10-6-161.8%

Premier League Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Liverpool24-7-27944
Arsenal18-12-36734
Nottingham Forest18-6-96014
Newcastle United18-5-105918
Manchester City17-7-95822
Chelsea16-9-85718
Aston Villa16-9-8576
Bournemouth13-10-104912
Fulham13-9-11483
Brighton12-13-8480
Brentford13-7-13466
Crystal Palace11-11-1144-4
Everton8-14-1138-6
Manchester United10-8-1538-8
Wolves11-5-1738-13
Tottenham11-4-183710
West Ham9-9-1536-18
Ipswich Town4-9-2021-38
Leicester City4-6-2318-46
Southampton2-5-2611-54
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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.