- Tottenham is a -0.5-goal home favorite against Wolves.
- Tottenham has won each of its last 10 EPL matches as a favorite following a loss.
- My Tottenham vs. Wolves prediction focuses on the Tottenham corner market.
Off a road defeat against Nottingham Forest, Tottenham returns home for a meeting with upstart Wolves.
Spurs’ 1-0 road defeat against Forest marked the second in a row for Ange Postecoglou’s side. The good news? Spurs have won 10 straight as favorites off a defeat.
Wolves’ success under new manager Vitor Pereira continued on Thursday with a 2-0 win over Manchester United. That win lifted Wolves out of the relegation zone.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Tottenham vs. Wolves prediction.
Tottenham vs. Wolves Odds, Premier League
Tottenham vs. Wolves Prediction
Based on Tottenham’s corners success at home and Wolves’ penchant for allowing corners on the road, my Tottenham vs. Wolves prediction is Tottenham Over 7.5 Corners (+100).
There’s some calculus behind this play as Spurs’ defensive absentees continue to mount.
Injuries could force four central defenders out for Spurs, who also can’t feature Djed Spence via suspension at right back.
If those absences force a makeshift defense from Postecoglou, it opens the door to Wolves’ strong attack opening the scoring, which occurred when these sides met last.
The resulting gamescript saw Tottenham accumulate 12 corners on their own against Wolves, who ceded possession in an effort to protect the lead.
So far this season, Spurs’ matches as a home favorite have seen them accumulate plenty of corners.
They’re 4-2 to over 7.5 corners, with one failure coming via the hook. At 8.67 home corners per match, Spurs sit third in the league.
Conversely, Wolves have allowed 7.44 road corners per match. Only Brentford and Leicester City have allowed more corners per game away from home.
This season, Wolves has closed a road underdog seven times, with opponents clearing this number in five of those matches, with six teams accumulating at least seven.
That renders this a great buy-low spot on Tottenham, which has stayed under this number in four straight matches, including twice as a home underdog.
Given their past success against Wolves, take the over on Spurs’ corner count.
Related Articles
EPL Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the premier online sportsbook for EPL betting throughout the year.
With EPL futures and weekly odds, including match winner odds, over/under totals, and player props, there are a variety of opportunities to bet online!
If you don’t have an account, register today with BetMGM’s welcome offer. Once you have an account, check for daily sports betting promos.
