Raiders vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 7

Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford drops back to pass during an NFL football game against the Seattle Seahawks, Sunday, Sept. 10, 2023, in Seattle. The Rams won 30-13.
(Stephen Brashear/AP Photo)
  • The Rams are -7 point favorites vs the Raiders
  • Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-4-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (1-4-0) on Oct. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Inglewood, CA.

The Rams are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-105).

The Raiders vs. Rams Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Raiders+7 -11543.5 -110+260
Rams -7 -10543.5 -110-350

Raiders vs. Rams Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Raiders vs Rams Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 68.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Tre Tucker has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Alexander Mattison has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Gardner Minshew has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Kyren Williams has hit the Carries Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Cooper Kupp has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tyler Higbee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Kyren Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+5.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 20 games (+2.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.45 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders art 2-4 (-2.55 Units / -37.5% ROI).

  • Raiders are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -8% ROI
  • Raiders are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Raiders are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / ROI

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 1-4 (-3.35 Units / -61.47% ROI).

  • Rams are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -36.27% ROI
  • Rams are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 13.51% ROI
  • Rams are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.85% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Raiders are 1-11 (.083) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .225.

The Raiders are undefeated (4-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .610.

The Raiders were undefeated (6-0) when leading at the end of the first half last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .783.

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Rams are undefeated (3-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .610.

The Rams were 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.

The Rams were 3-1 (.750) when forcing at least one fumble last season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.

The Rams were 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .622.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Raiders have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 17% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Raiders have averaged -1.25 epa per play against a stacked front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.06.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 26% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams have run successful plays on 86% of plays against a stacked front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 49%.

The Rams have targeted RBs 10% of the time (17 Pass Attempts/176 plays) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Rams have targeted WRs 68% of the time (517 Pass Attempts/759 plays) since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Rams averaged -0.51 epa per play against a light rush last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Raiders defense have allowed 37 broken tackles this season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense allowed 8 broken tackles in Week 6 — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 15.1 on contested throws (17 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 73.1.

The Raiders defense has missed 68 tackles this season — most in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of 141.4 when the opposing QB has scrambled (9 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 63.3.

The Rams defense has sacked opposing QBs on 31% of pass attempts (4/13) on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

The Rams defense has allowed just -2.9 yards per dropback (-26 yards/9 attempts) on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.3.

The Rams defense has allowed scores on 64% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.