- The Mariners are -190 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Texas Rangers (+155) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-190) on Wednesday, May 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 21-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 18-18 ATS.
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -120 | +155 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 +100 | -190 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
| Dane Dunning | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games (+15.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+4.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 21-14 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 12.46% ROI).
- 21-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 11.24% ROI
- 21-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.65 Units / 17.27% ROI
- 13-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -26.39% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 18-18 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.45% ROI).
- 18-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -7.3% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -7.89% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -1.03% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 13% (16/120) against Dane Dunning this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 11% (6/56) against Dane Dunning this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strikeout rate of just 29% (14 SO in 49 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of just .128 (39 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .318 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .087 (8-for-92) against Luis Castillo with two-strikes this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .184 (16-for-87) against Luis Castillo this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 93rd Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .211 (90 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 39% (16 SO in 41 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 93rd Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are 6-2 (.750) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Rangers are just 37-34 (.521) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Rangers are just 1-91 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rangers are 51-15 (.773) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 2-13 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mariners are 8-79 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Mariners are just 11-5 (.688) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .851.
The Mariners are 4-13 (.235) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .112.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .291 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .944 (368 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Rangers hitters have grounded into 99 double plays in 1,340 opportunities (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Rangers have scored 103 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .263 (323 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .206 (165 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Mariners hitters have pulled 54% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mariners hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 166 of 1,752 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 58 times this season — fewest in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 24 of 455 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 101 of 1,343 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
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