- The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Orioles
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Watch the game on MASN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-140) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+115) on Tuesday, May 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 29-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 21-14 ATS.
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +115 | O 8 -110 | -140 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -140 | U 8 -110 | +115 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 34 games (+17.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in his last 10 away games (+14.20 Units / 142% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 away games (+10.55 Units / 96% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.70 Units / 71% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 19 games (+7.75 Units / 38% ROI)
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grayson Rodriguez | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Zach Eflin | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 23-13 against the Run Line (+11.3 Units / 27.7% ROI).
- 29-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.8 Units / 28.72% ROI
- 19-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 8.05% ROI
- 14-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -18.38% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 21-14 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 14.92% ROI).
- 22-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 16.03% ROI
- 20-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 12.76% ROI
- 14-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -20.1% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.9 MPH against his fastballs since last season (176 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 90.4
Zach Eflin has a strike rate of 71% (268/377) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (19/28) against Zach Eflin — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (12/109 PA’s) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 97th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 39% (16/41) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (112/238) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (10/15) against Grayson Rodriguez when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 98th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has thrown fastballs up 78% of the time (60/77) with two-strikes this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 57% — 95th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 9-1 (.900) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Rays are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rays are 6-5 (.545) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Rays are 29-7 (.806) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Orioles are 24-30 (.444) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Orioles are 33-9 (.786) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Orioles are 16-3 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .576 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .937 (274 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .744.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .642 (714 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Rays hitters are slugging .915 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .247 with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 65% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .355 (521 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rays pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Rays pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .105 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles pitchers have walked 115 of 1,752 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Forearm, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D15
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