- The Athletics are -115 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller, 10.80 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kyle Muller, 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on NBC Sports App
The Kansas City Royals (-105) visit Hohokam Stadium to take on the Oakland Athletics (-115) on Friday, March 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Mesa.
The Athletics are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Royals vs Athletics Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Royals are 5-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 1-3 ATS.
Royals vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | O 11 -115 | -105 |
| Athletics | -1.5 +165 | U 11 -105 | -115 |
Royals vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Athletics will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 56.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sebastian Rivero has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kevin Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Barrera has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Chad Pinder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Skye Bolt has hit the Runs Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+0.30 Units / 3% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 59 away games (+16.93 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 away games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 89 games (+10.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 44 games at home (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games at home (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 5-1 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 60.9% ROI).
- 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 55.71% ROI
- 6-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 88.24% ROI
- 0-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -100% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 1-3 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -55.65% ROI).
- 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -76.74% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.9 MPH on non-fastballs since the start of the 2021 season (313 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 86.9
Brad Keller had a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (334/616) last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
Brad Keller has allowed an OBP of .367 (365 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .276 — second Percentile.
Brad Keller has allowed an OBP of .359 (1,228 PA’s) since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .303 — fourth Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Muller has limited playing time.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Royals are just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Royals are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Athletics are just 29-52 (.358) at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Athletics are just 58-87 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 13-42 (.236) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 642 strikeouts in 3,264 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters slugged just .368 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .991 (2,308 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .278 (2,878 PA’s) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Athletics hitters had an OPS of just .604 (2,878 PA’s) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 1,180 of 12,376 batters (10%) since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 405.4 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Royals pitchers threw at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Athletics pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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