Rutgers vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

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Michigan State linebacker Cal Haladay (27) gets set for a play during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Iowa, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa. Iowa won 26-16. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2024, 2:49 PM
  • Michigan State is a -2 point favorite vs. Rutgers
  • Rutgers vs. Michigan State Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights (6-5) visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans (5-6) on Nov. 30 in East Lansing, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Michigan State is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Rutgers vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

Bet now on Michigan State vs Rutgers & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Rutgers vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rutgers+2 -11047.5 -110+105
Michigan State -2 -11047.5 -110-125

Rutgers vs Michigan State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this game with 54.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rutgers and Michigan State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rutgers vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Michigan State vs Rutgers and all games with BetMGM


  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.37 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.35 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Rutgers players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rutgers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Dymere Miller has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyle Monangai has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Michigan State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Nick Marsh has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Montorie Foster Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Rutgers is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Rutgers is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Rutgers is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan State is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.71% ROI).

  • Michigan State is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 4.71% ROI
  • Michigan State is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Michigan State is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State

Rutgers is 2-10 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .435

Rutgers is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .283

Rutgers is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .485

Rutgers is 4-7 (.364) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .470

Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Michigan State is 2-12 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .487

Michigan State is 7-1 (.875) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .525

Michigan State is undefeated (8-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .782

Michigan State is 7-1 (.875) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .504

Matchup Notes for Rutgers vs. Michigan State

Michigan State has gained 2,455 yards on 198 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State has gained 2,455 yards on 198 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 1,758 yards on 123 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers has averaged 12.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 11.7 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 11.7 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 4,090 passing yards in 24 games (just 170.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 225.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has averaged 12.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 11.7 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 11.7 RAC since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 4,090 passing yards in 24 games (just 170.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 225.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has gained 3,427 yards on 246 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has 328 receptions in 24 games (just 13.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State TEs have no touchdowns on 45 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.7

Michigan State TEs have no touchdowns on 45 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 16.6

Michigan State has gained 2,455 yards on 198 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State TEs have no touchdowns on 45 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4

Michigan State has gained 2,455 yards on 198 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has sacked opposing QBs just once on 69 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.2

Rutgers allowed 20.8 yards per completion (249 yards/12 completions) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11.2

Rutgers allowed passes of 40+ yards on 2 of 26 attempts (8%) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1%

Rutgers has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 28 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Rutgers has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 52 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Michigan State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 19 rushing attempts (47% TFL%) last week– best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Michigan State tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 19 rushing attempts (47% TFL%) last week– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Michigan State tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 19 rushing attempts (47% TFL%) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Michigan State has allowed 30 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Michigan State did not allow a first down on any of their opponents’ 19 rush attempts last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.