TCU vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2023, 9:44 AM
  • Texas (24-8) is a -2.5 point favorite vs TCU (21-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The TCU Horned Frogs (21-11) visit T-Mobile Center to take on the Texas Longhorns (24-8) on Mar. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Kansas City.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The TCU vs. Texas Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+2.5 -115O 147.5 -115+115
Texas -2.5 -105U 147.5 -105-135

TCU vs Texas Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 55.3% confidence.

TCU vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 47 games (+17.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+15.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 43 games (+5.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has gone 16-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 8.08% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has gone 15-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.7 Units / -10.54% ROI).

  • 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 6.34% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.7% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.23% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU is shooting 30% from three (302/1,012) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU has averaged 15.7 points per game (298 points/19 games) in transition this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas is shooting 44% (48/110) on left wing attempts this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas has averaged 1.31 points per shot (144 points/110 shots) on left wing attempts this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.99

Texas is shooting 44% from three (48/110) on left wing attempts this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas has a TS% of 51% in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 47% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (23/49) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 47% on catch and shoot opportunities (23/49) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 50% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (10/20) in transition last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.