Texas Tech vs Kansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2023, 12:12 PM
  • Kansas (24-5) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Texas Tech (16-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (16-13) visit Allen Fieldhouse to take on the Kansas Jayhawks (24-5) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Lawrence.

Kansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Texas Tech vs. Kansas Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Texas Tech vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Tech+9.5 -115O 146.5 -110+340
Kansas -9.5 -105U 146.5 -110-450

Texas Tech vs Kansas Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 69.8% confidence.

Texas Tech vs Kansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Kansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 18 away games (+11.65 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 50 games (+27.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 42 games (+24.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has gone 13-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.65% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.36% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -24.14% ROI

Kansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas has gone 14-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI).

  • 15-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.3 Units / 24.81% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech had a TS% of 43% on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas Tech shot 68% from inside the arc (26/38) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas had a TS% of 56% in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Kansas scored 258 points in transition last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas averaged 14.3 points per game (258 points/18 games) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Kansas made 109 field goals in transition last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Texas Tech allowed 1.5 made three-pointers per game in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 19% (14/73) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three (14/73) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Kansas allowed an average of 0.58 points per shot (42 points/73 shots) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.95

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 34% (74/218) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.