Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2023, 11:50 AM
  • The Red Sox are -190 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning, 4.50 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Christopher Sale
  • Watch the game on NESN

The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit JetBlue Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-190) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Fort Myers.

The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Tigers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Tigers are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 7-2 ATS.

Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -120O 10 -110+155
Red Sox -1.5 +100U 10 -110-190

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 63.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yolmer Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jaylin Davis has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.25 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jaylin Davis has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+2.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jaylin Davis has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 108 games (+12.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+11.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 away games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+10.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+9.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 133 games (+7.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -54.05% ROI).

  • 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -24.22% ROI
  • 5-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 91.74% ROI
  • 0-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -100% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 7-2 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 55% ROI).

  • 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 57.33% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -4.5% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -3.06% ROI

Matt Manning allowed a slugging percentage of just .224 (15 Total Bases / 67 ABs) over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 94th Percentile.

Matt Manning allowed an OPS of just .440 (74 PA’s) over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .702 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .149 (10-for-67) against Matt Manning over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 97th Percentile.

Matt Manning threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (31/55) of opposing batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 65% — eighth Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Sale has not allowed a walk in his last 61 PAs against a LHH dating back to August 3rd, 2019 — Corbin Burnes has the longest active streak at 77.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The Tigers are just 64-86 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Red Sox are just 4-65 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Red Sox are just 5-63 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Red Sox are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 9-11 (.450) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

The Red Sox batted .258 last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox batted .272 at home last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Red Sox are batting .259 since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 5.24 (663.1 IP) against division opponents last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.

The Red Sox pitchers allowed 357 barreled balls last season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.

The Red Sox have won 40% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Red Sox pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.1 MPH (4,136 batted balls) last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

Red Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.